Quaest in ES, 2nd round: Flávio Bolsonaro, 51%; Lula, 38%

This is the first round of research since the second round between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula was confirmed, last Sunday (4).

The second round will be on October 25th. On that date, ES voters also decide the election for governor, between Lorenzo Pazolini (Podemos) and Ricardo Ferraço (MDB).

Quaest also shows the results of the spontaneous poll, in which the names of the candidates are not shown to voters.

For 94% of voters interviewed in the survey, the choice of candidate is definitive. Another 6% say they can still change their vote until the second round.

Quaest interviewed 1,098 people aged 16 and over between October 10th and 13th. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, plus or minus, and the confidence level is 95%. The research registration number is BR-01973/2026.