AI-generated summary
The study analyzes two scenarios for the spread of battery-electric trucks in Europe: one with favorable and one with unfavorable political framework conditions. It is based on data from the Fraunhofer ISI and the ICCT.
Electricity demand for electric trucks in Europe could rise to more than 200 terawatt hours per year by 2045. By 2035 there could be around 100, according to a study by the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research ISI and the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT). The numbers refer to a scenario with favorable political conditions for the spread of battery-electric trucks. In an unfavorable scenario it is only around a third.
The greatest need is expected in Germany. There could be up to 43 terawatt hours of demand there in 2045. France and Great Britain follow behind with around 35 and 34 terawatt hours.
For comparison: According to the Federal Statistical Office, a total of 432 terawatt hours of electricity were generated and fed into the grid in Germany last year. One terawatt hour is equal to one billion kilowatt hours.
However, only a fraction of these charging needs will occur on the move. According to the authors, charging in the depot dominates in all countries and scenarios. In addition, the charging requirement is concentrated “on certain freight transport corridors, industrial sites and logistics centers,” as lead author Steffen Link from ISI explains.
“When expanding the infrastructure and planning the network, the focus should be on those areas where demand is particularly safe and high. Otherwise there is a risk that the necessary network infrastructure will not keep pace with the rapid switch to battery-electric trucks.”
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The electricity demand for electric trucks in Europe will reach more than 200 terawatt hours per year by 2045 under favorable political conditions.
Possible · Within years
By 2045, Germany will have the highest national electricity demand for electric trucks in Europe, with up to 43 terawatt hours per year.
Likely · Within years

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