
AI-generated summary
The agreement comes in the context of the Ukraine war started by Russia and the conflicts in Iran started by the US and Israel, which have led to global fuel shortages.
After a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin, US President Donald Trump promised hundreds of thousands of tons of diesel from Russia. Trump announced on his Truth Social platform that he had agreed with the Russian President that more than 300,000 tons of diesel would be made available “immediately” for the USA and the global market.
A further half a million tonnes of diesel should be released during November and a million tonnes "immediately afterwards".
“Depending on the condition of its diesel refineries,” Russia also wants to deliver three million tons of diesel within a short period of time. Trump did not initially specify the time periods for this.
Russia confirms agreement
The Kremlin confirmed the agreement. "During the discussion of the situation on the global energy market, the Russian side confirmed its readiness to supply oil and oil products to the American and world markets," Putin's written statement said.
This will have a positive impact on the “entire global economy”. In the telephone conversation with Trump, both the Ukraine war started by Russia and the situation surrounding Iran were discussed.
Massive criticism from Kyiv
Sharp criticism, however, came from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: "Permitting Russia to sell petroleum products is an investment in the war (against Ukraine), which must be ended and not extended," he wrote on Telegram. Moscow will thank you with more “terror and meanness.”
Experts: no long-term solution
Experts doubt that Russian deliveries will lead to a sustained decline in prices. "I can't emphasize enough how insignificant this is," oil analyst Rory Johnston said on X. Russia normally exports far more diesel when its refineries aren't under attack. The 300,000 tons immediately promised corresponds to about 2.25 million barrels of diesel, while the US exports around 1.5 million barrels daily.
It's clearly not a solution, but another source of support in a very tight market, Jim Mitchell of consultancy Wood Mackenzie told Reuters.
After the agreement was announced, US futures contracts for diesel fell by almost five percent to $1.23 per liter. Diesel prices, considered a key driver of inflation, have risen by 70 percent since the start of the war against Iran launched by the United States and Israel on February 28. The conflicts in Iran and Ukraine have led to fuel shortages worldwide.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Diesel prices in the US could fall further in the short term as the first deliveries take place.
Likely · Within weeks
Criticism from Kyiv against the agreement is likely to continue to grow.
Very likely · Within days

Despite an agreement between US President Trump and Russian President Putin to increase diesel deliveries, Germany is maintaining its sanctions against Russia and is no longer purchasing Russian oil or gasoline. The German government emphasizes its support for Ukraine, while the EU criticizes the agreement and Moscow partially lifts the diesel export ban.

Russia has pledged to supply diesel to the United States and global markets and is subsequently partially lifting the diesel export ban. The decision initially allows the delivery of 500,000 tons to the world market and comes into force immediately. Russian oil companies were ordered to immediately conclude contracts with foreign partners.

IW economist Samina Sultan expresses doubts that the delivery of over 300,000 tons of diesel from Russia agreed between US President Trump and Russian President Putin will lower fuel prices in the US or Germany, as the amount will only cover US consumption for around 14 hours and the world market price will not change significantly.

In response to a diesel deal between US President Trump and Kremlin leader Putin, the federal government is reaffirming its adherence to the Russia sanctions. Germany is independent of Russian oil.

Seven months after the start of the Iran war, crude oil exports from the Gulf region have partially recovered despite dangers. Refined fuels such as diesel and kerosene, however, remain severely restricted via the Strait of Hormuz, forcing Europe to find new sources of supply.

After talks with Putin, US President Trump announced the delivery of hundreds of thousands of tons of diesel from Russia, supported by a temporary permit from the US Treasury Department until April 2027. The deal contradicts recently passed sanctions against Russia and comes amid rising fuel prices before the congressional elections.