
IW economist Samina Sultan expresses doubts that the delivery of over 300,000 tons of diesel from Russia agreed between US President Trump and Russian President Putin will lower fuel prices in the US or Germany, as the amount will only cover US consumption for around 14 hours and the world market price will not change significantly.
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After a conversation with Kremlin chief Vladimir Putin, US President Trump announced an agreement to supply diesel from Russia in order to reduce the increased fuel prices in the USA, with the USA wanting to temporarily lift sanctions against Russian diesel. The midterm elections are approaching.
According to IW economist Samina Sultan, the diesel agreement between US President Donald Trump and Kremlin chief Vladimir Putin will not lead to lower prices at gas stations in the USA or in Germany.
The amount of more than 300,000 tons of diesel that Putin immediately promised was not enough to make a big difference, Sultan told the German Press Agency. “The world market price will not change significantly,” explains the expert from the Institute of German Economics (IW) in Cologne.
According to the US Energy Administration (EIA), consumption of diesel and other distillate fuels in the US currently averages around 3.77 million barrels per day. This corresponds to the equivalent of around 500,000 tonnes. The delivery of 300,000 tons would theoretically only cover US consumption for around 14 hours.
Fuel prices put Trump under pressure
After a conversation with Kremlin chief Vladimir Putin, US President Trump announced an agreement to supply diesel from Russia. To make this possible, the USA wants to temporarily lift sanctions against Russian diesel.
Given the rise in fuel prices in the USA, Trump is under great pressure ahead of the important midterm elections, which take place in less than a month. In view of this, Sultan speaks of a more “symbolic act”.
In the case of further deliveries, it is also questionable to what extent Russia can deliver at all. In recent months, Ukraine has increased its attacks on oil industry facilities in Russia. The consequences are clearly noticeable there.

Despite an agreement between US President Trump and Russian President Putin to increase diesel deliveries, Germany is maintaining its sanctions against Russia and is no longer purchasing Russian oil or gasoline. The German government emphasizes its support for Ukraine, while the EU criticizes the agreement and Moscow partially lifts the diesel export ban.

Russia has pledged to supply diesel to the United States and global markets and is subsequently partially lifting the diesel export ban. The decision initially allows the delivery of 500,000 tons to the world market and comes into force immediately. Russian oil companies were ordered to immediately conclude contracts with foreign partners.

In response to a diesel deal between US President Trump and Kremlin leader Putin, the federal government is reaffirming its adherence to the Russia sanctions. Germany is independent of Russian oil.

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After a conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin, US President Donald Trump promised the delivery of hundreds of thousands of tons of diesel from Russia. The Kremlin confirmed the agreement, while Ukraine expressed sharp criticism and experts questioned the long-term nature of the measure.

After talks with Putin, US President Trump announced the delivery of hundreds of thousands of tons of diesel from Russia, supported by a temporary permit from the US Treasury Department until April 2027. The deal contradicts recently passed sanctions against Russia and comes amid rising fuel prices before the congressional elections.