
AI-generated summary
Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have escalated following attacks on ships, raising concerns about oil supply disruptions amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic stalemate.
U.S. crude oil prices rose Thursday as traders assessed potential supply disruptions following attacks on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for November were up about 3%, or $2.94, to $98.03 per barrel. Futures for international benchmark Brent crude for December delivery were down 29 cents to $105.77.
U.S. crude oil prices were also supported by a large inventory draw of 8 million barrels during the week ended Oct. 9, according to data released by the Energy Information Administration.
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A Singapore registered ship was sunk in the critical Strait of Hormuz, which raised worries of a prolonged Mideast conflict. "Such attacks are unprovoked, unjustifiable and a breach of international law," the Singapore maritime authority said in a statement Wednesday.
Iran, meanwhile, has said it is "counting the moments" until it can start striking U.S. warships.
The International Energy Agency in its oil report for October out Wednesday cautioned that constraints on diesel markets could continue well into the next year, with fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia threatening to derail a recovery in oil supply.
To help ease prices, the Trump administration is considering to ease sanctions on "shadow fleet" vessels which transports oil and petroleum products from countries such as Russia, Reuters reported.
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The lack of progress between U.S.-Iran diplomatic track "leaves little immediate prospect of a full reopening of the waterway," said Firas Bechwaty, head of business development at online trading platform ICM late Wednesday.
"At the same time, Saudi crude continues to reach international buyers through alternative routes, while accelerated emergency stock releases by IEA members provide an additional buffer, preventing a sharp rise in prices, even as tensions remain elevated," Bechwaty noted.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
U.S. crude oil prices may remain elevated if Hormuz tensions persist
Likely · Within weeks
The Trump administration may proceed with easing sanctions on shadow fleet vessels to counter price increases
Possible · Within weeks

U.S. crude oil prices climbed Thursday following a ship sinking in the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are weighing supply disruption risks as tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalate and the IEA warns of ongoing diesel market constraints.

Experts warn that a new US-Russia diesel deal will likely fail to lower global fuel prices significantly, citing ongoing refinery disruptions, geopolitical conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, and insufficient import volumes to meet US demand.

Oil prices held steady Wednesday morning as investors weighed the IEA's report on diesel constraints and escalating conflict involving Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Iran, alongside warnings of further supply disruptions.

The IEA warns tight diesel market conditions will persist into late 2027 due to low inventories and supply constraints, while U.S. President Trump faces backlash over a deal with Russia for diesel supplies.

Australian Resources Minister Madeleine King stated that gas will remain essential for households and industry in the foreseeable future due to lack of viable replacements, while defending the national gas reservation scheme set to begin in January 2028, which aims to lower power prices by reserving 20% of gas exports for domestic use and empowering the energy regulator.

Oil prices increased on Wednesday due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, with Brent crude gaining 1.24% to $107.02 and WTI rising 1.18% to $95.25 per barrel, amid fears of supply disruptions and comments from Paul Tudor Jones suggesting a potential $20-$25 rally.