
Brent and WTI crude pull back from overnight gains following attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure and rising U.S.-Iran tensions.
Oil prices held steady Wednesday morning as investors weighed the IEA's report on diesel constraints and escalating conflict involving Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Iran, alongside warnings of further supply disruptions.
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IEA released its October Oil Market Report warning of diesel market constraints and supply threats from Middle East conflicts.
Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday morning, pulling back from earlier gains, as investors digested the International Energy Agency's latest monthly report on the shape of the oil market.
By 4:30 a.m. ET, front-month futures tied to both Brent crude oil and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil were trading flat, having each climbed more than 1% overnight.
Brent crude futures were last seen at $105.66 a barrel, while WTI futures were trading at $94.20 per barrel.
The IEA's October Oil Market Report, published Wednesday, warned that constraints on diesel markets could continue well into 2027, with fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia threatening to derail a recovery on the supply side of the global oil market.
Fighting between Saudi Arabia and the Iran-backed Houthis continues to escalate, with the Saudi Ministry of Energy saying Wednesday that an administrative building belonging to oil giant Saudi Aramco had been attacked overnight. No injuries were reported at the site in Dhahran, a city on Saudi Arabia's eastern coast.
It follows a series of Houthi attacks on the Saudi capital Riyadh over the past week, including a fatal strike on the city's international airport.
According to Al Jazeera, Houthi energy terminals and fuel reserves in Yemen were struck by a Saudi-led coalition, though a spokesperson said that precautions were taken to avoid "collateral damage on civilians."
Tensions also continued to simmer between the U.S. and Iran.
U.S. Central Command rejected claims by the commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy that the Strait of Hormuz is under Iran's control and that any approaching U.S. Navy warships would be "sunk."
"RGC's navy commander has no navy," CENTCOM said in an X post, adding that "American forces and regional partners clearly control the Strait of Hormuz."
Oil may rally another $20-$25 due to the Iran conflict, hedge fund manager and noted commodity trader Paul Tudor Jones said on on CNBC's "Squawk Box."
"I am long oil... bullish oil...I think it can rally another $20 or $25 bucks," said the founder and chief investment officer of Tudor Investment.
"If something to ameliorate the situation was going to happen, it would have happened already before the midterms," he added.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Oil prices could rally another $20-$25 due to the Iran conflict.
Speculative · Within months

The IEA warns tight diesel market conditions will persist into late 2027 due to low inventories and supply constraints, while U.S. President Trump faces backlash over a deal with Russia for diesel supplies.

Australian Resources Minister Madeleine King stated that gas will remain essential for households and industry in the foreseeable future due to lack of viable replacements, while defending the national gas reservation scheme set to begin in January 2028, which aims to lower power prices by reserving 20% of gas exports for domestic use and empowering the energy regulator.

Oil prices increased on Wednesday due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Saudi Arabia and Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, with Brent crude gaining 1.24% to $107.02 and WTI rising 1.18% to $95.25 per barrel, amid fears of supply disruptions and comments from Paul Tudor Jones suggesting a potential $20-$25 rally.

President Trump's announced diesel deal with Russia, involving up to 4.8 million metric tons of fuel, would supply only about 10 days of U.S. demand and is unlikely to reduce prices meaningfully, analysts say, as the U.S. is a net diesel exporter and global impact is minimal.

Oil prices declined Tuesday as markets balanced prospects of increased Russian diesel supplies against concerns over the Saudi-Houthi conflict, with Brent crude down 1.48% to $105.05 and WTI down 1.57% to $92.27. President Trump defended easing Russian diesel restrictions despite bipartisan criticism, while Goldman Sachs said additional supplies would minimally impact prices and highlighted ongoing global diesel production declines. Houthi militants attacked Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport, killing 12 and injuring over 300.

Oil prices rose on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Despite initial market dips, Brent and WTI futures climbed as traders weighed the potential for increased supply against ongoing Middle East tensions.