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Back謝金河:Vera Rubin機櫃造價超780萬美元 台灣供應鏈為AI最大受益者
謝金河:Vera Rubin機櫃造價超780萬美元 台灣供應鏈為AI最大受益者
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

謝金河:Vera Rubin機櫃造價超780萬美元 台灣供應鏈為AI最大受益者

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財信傳媒集團董事長謝金河指出,據傳Nvidia Vera Rubin伺服器機櫃因零組件供應緊縮可能延遲,導致台股AI相關股價下跌。他透露單台Vera Rubin NVL72機櫃造價超過780萬美元(約2.4億台幣),並強調台灣在AI供應鏈中扮演關鍵角色,只要AI發展持續,台灣將繼續受益。

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Why It Matters

財信傳媒集團董事長謝金河在臉書發文分析Nvidia Vera Rubin伺服器機櫃成本結構及其對台灣產業鏈的影響,並引用彭博報告指出黃仁勳預告2027年伺服器將漲價超過15%。

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輝達先進Vera Rubin伺服器機櫃助攻AI運算。(資料照)

〔即時新聞/綜合報導〕台股昨日力守47000點,但老AI股跌幅重,財信傳媒集團董事長謝金河指出,據傳是Vera Rubin受到零組件吃緊可能延遲,造成股價全面走跌,他直言一座Vera Rubin NVL72機櫃造價超過780萬美元(逾2.4億台幣),並指其養大台灣的供應鏈,只要AI繼續向前奔跑,台灣都會在這條賽道上奔馳。

謝金河在臉書以「這台機櫃決定台灣產業命運」為題發文指出,昨日伺服器相關個股跌幅不小,聽說是Vera Rubin受到零組件吃緊可能延遲,這看得出今年這台機櫃影響台灣產業鏈不小。

請繼續往下閱讀...

謝金河表示,最近彭博資訊撰寫一篇專文分析,標題:Pay it or Sit out!意思是買單或出局?因為黃仁勳已經通知2027年伺服器的漲幅將超過15%,Nvidia敢漲價,是因為大家都離不開它。

謝金河提到,彭博把這台Vera Rubin NVL72組成的零組件拆解,這台機櫃使用72顆Vera GPU價格是396萬美元,36顆Vera CPU 18萬美元,記憶體/儲存200.16萬美元,NVlink6交換器14.4萬美元,其他網路設備57.6萬美元,印刷電路板116730美元,ABF載板20340美元,電源供應器76000美元,散熱72080美元,MLCC/被動元件4320美元,其他零組件623278美元,機櫃組裝28800美元,一台機櫃造價780萬3148美元。

謝金河強調,把這些數字放在一起,首先可以確定的是AI是鉅額的投資實局,只有一路向前,沒有回頭路,這使得全球CSP大廠都投入砸錢的競賽,Amazon2200億美元,Google2050億美元,微軟1900億美元,Meta1445億美元,四大CSP大廠資本支出7450億美元,他們的資本支出都遠遠超過獲利,也造成自由現金流出現負值的市場隱憂。

其二是台灣在非紅供應鏈下是AI軍備競賽最大受益者,今天台灣有傲人的經濟成長率,人均所得水漲船高,對美國出口超過60%成長,上半年淨利3.67兆元,比去年同期增加95.3%,這完全來自為了追求算力的硬體投資。

例如,輝達的GPU來自台積電,電源供應器是台達電,交換器是智邦,散熱是奇鋐,雙鴻,高力,健策,ABF載板是欣興,南電,景碩,上游銅箔的台光電,台燿電,金居,聯茂,列在其他的也有川湖等。

謝金河直言,這台機櫃養大台灣的供應鏈,只要AI繼續向前奔跑,台灣都會在這條賽道上奔馳!

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Nvidia將在2027年將伺服器價格提升超過15%

    Likely · Within years

  • 台灣AI供應鏈將持續受惠於全球AI資本支出成長

    Very likely · Within years

Open Questions

  • Vera Rubin供應延遲的具體原因是什麼?
  • 台灣供應鏈中哪些環節最脆弱?
  • Nvidia漲價是否會導致雲端廠商減少訂單?

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