How much will the new minimum wage be? Here are the 2027 minimum wage increase scenarios and employer cost table...

Before the critical meetings of the Minimum Wage Determination Commission to be held before the new year, possible scenarios regarding the minimum wage of 2027 and the burdens that these scenarios will impose on both employees and employers have already begun to be calculated. Although there is no official decision yet, the 30 percent, 32.5 percent and 35 percent raise rates talked about behind the scenes will directly shape both the budgets and personnel costs of businesses in the new year.

The current net minimum wage is 28 thousand 75 liras and 50 kuruş, and the gross wage is 33 thousand 30 liras. While the total cost of an employee to the employer under current conditions is 39 thousand 223 liras and 13 kuruş, with the minimum wage support provided by the state, this burden decreases to 37 thousand 953 liras and 13 kuruş. So, how will these numbers change when possible raise scenarios come into play? Here are those possibilities:

1) The Most Conservative Scenario: What Will Happen to Salaries If There is a 30% Raise?

In case of a 30 percent increase in the minimum wage:

Gross Minimum Wage: 42 thousand 939 TL,

Net Minimum Wage: 36 thousand 498 liras and will increase by 15 kuruş.

Cost to the Employer: While the total cost for businesses is approximately 50 thousand 990 TL, if the minimum wage support continues, this amount will be 49 thousand 720 liras and 06 kuruş.

2) Middle Way Scenario: Where Do the Numbers Go for a 32.5% Increase?

If the increase rate is determined as 32.5 percent:

Gross Minimum Wage: 43 thousand 764 lira 75 kuruş,

Net Minimum Wage: It will increase to 37 thousand 200 lira and 04 kuruş.

Cost to the Employer: The total cost of an employee to the employer is approximately 51 thousand 970 TL, and after the support it will be 50 thousand 700 lira and 64 kuruş.

3) High Raise Scenario: How Many TL Will the Net Salary Be with a 35% Increase?

In the case of a 35 percent raise, which is one of the strongest expectations on the table:

Gross Minimum Wage: 44 thousand 590 lira 50 kuruş,

Net Minimum Wage: It will reach 37 thousand 901 lira and 93 kuruş.

Cost to the Employer: The total monthly burden on the employer's shoulders will rise to approximately 52 thousand 951 TL (after the support, 51 thousand 681 lira and 22 kuruş).

EMPLOYER'S PERSONNEL COST IS AT THE LIMIT OF 53 THOUSAND TL!

Simulations show that the impact of the minimum wage increase on the business world will be quite large. Even with a 30 percent raise, the employer's cost will exceed the threshold of 50 thousand TL, while in the highest raise scenario of 35 percent, the total monthly cost of a minimum wage employee to the business will increase by approximately 13 thousand 728 TL compared to today.

Note: These calculations were made based on the premium rates of 2026 and the assumption that the monthly minimum wage support of 1,270 TL will continue in the same way in 2027 and the 5-point SSI premium reduction in the manufacturing sector. These amounts may change when official decisions and new support amounts are announced.