United Right versus the ruling camp. The results of the latest survey are in

The survey examined the scenario of a "clash of two large electoral blocs", in connection - as the portal indicated - with discussions about "possible consolidation of the political scene".

The United Right wins

The respondents were asked who they would vote for if the main forces ran under one banner.

The study shows that "the United Right, which includes Law and Justice, the Development Plus group, the Confederation and the Confederation of the Polish Crown of Grzegorz Braun, would receive the most votes." In the poll, the bloc gained 46.6 percent. support.

Second place was taken by the "15 October Coalition, i.e. a joint list of the Civic Coalition, PSL, Poland 2050 and the New Left". This variant was supported by 41.3 percent. subjects.

The Razem party running independently would get 5.8 percent. votes, exceeding the statutory electoral threshold.

The answer "I don't know/It's hard to say" was chosen by 6.3 percent. subjects.

Victory and a majority in the Sejm

Conversion of these results into parliamentary seats according to the model of prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University indicates that the broad right-wing bloc would gain 242 seats, which would mean an independent majority in the 460-seat parliament.

In turn, the 15 October Coalition would, according to this methodology, introduce 212 MPs to the Sejm, and the Razem party would introduce six.

"In this arrangement, the alliance of the 15 October Coalition and the Razem party would have a total of only 218 votes, which is 13 seats too few to form a majority cabinet," Wirtualna Polska concluded.

The survey was conducted on November 6-9, 2026, using the online mix-mode method and standardized computer-assisted telephone interviews (CAWI and CATI) on a sample of 1,000 adult Poles.