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Monetary Policy Committee

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Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% but warns of future hikes as Middle East conflict drives inflation
Developing
Business·4/30/2026AI summary

Bank of England holds rates at 3.75% but warns of future hikes as Middle East conflict drives inflation

The Bank of England has kept interest rates at 3.75% but warned that future increases may be necessary as the Middle East conflict drives up energy costs. The MPC voted 8-1 to hold rates for the third consecutive meeting, with only chief economist Huw Pill dissenting. Governor Andrew Bailey said higher inflation is unavoidable, with worst-case scenarios showing inflation could peak at 6% and rates might need to rise to 5.25%. UK inflation rose to 3.3% in March, with energy bills expected to rise 16% to £1,900 by summer.

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Guardian UK
Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75%, Warns of Future Hikes Amid Middle East Conflict
Developing
Business·4/30/2026AI summary

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75%, Warns of Future Hikes Amid Middle East Conflict

The Bank of England maintained its benchmark interest rate at 3.75% in an 8-1 vote, with Governor Andrew Bailey warning that higher inflation is unavoidable due to the Middle East conflict. The MPC, which has cut rates six times since mid-2024, outlined three scenarios where inflation could rise to between 3.3% and 6.2%, with unemployment reaching 5.5-5.6% and rates needing to rise to between 4.25% and 5.25%. UK inflation rose to 3.3% in March. The decision provides relief to the Labour government before local elections next week.

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Guardian UK
How China can avoid a repeat of Japan’s ‘lost decades’, in eyes of top economist
NEWS
4/30/2026

How China can avoid a repeat of Japan’s ‘lost decades’, in eyes of top economist

Bai Chongen is a prominent Chinese economist and government adviser. He is the dean of Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and serves concurrently as vice-chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce. From 2015 to 2018, he was a member of the Chinese central bank’s monetary policy committee. This interview took place during the “two sessions” – the annual meetings of China’s top legislature and advisory body – which Bai was attending as a member of the...

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SCMP Economy
UK Labour Market Weakens as Unemployment Forecast to Rise to 5.5-6%
Developing
Business·4/21/2026AI summary

UK Labour Market Weakens as Unemployment Forecast to Rise to 5.5-6%

UK employment growth slowed significantly with only 24,000 jobs added in the three months to February, below population growth. Payrolls contracted in February and fell by 11,000 in March, while vacancies continued to decline. Economists now forecast unemployment will rise to around 5.5% this year, potentially reaching 6% if energy prices spike further. The weak labour market, combined with the Middle East conflict driving up energy costs and business uncertainty, has complicated the Bank of England's interest rate decisions.

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Guardian Business