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Back特朗普与习近平举行峰会 未能在核心议题上达成重大声明
特朗普与习近平举行峰会 未能在核心议题上达成重大声明
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德国之声1 hour agoPolitics5 min readChinaView translation

特朗普与习近平举行峰会 未能在核心议题上达成重大声明

尽管双方表现出友好姿态,但在贸易、科技和台湾等热点议题上依然深陷激烈竞争。

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特朗普与习近平的最新领导人峰会未能在人工智能、台湾等热点议题上发布重大政策声明。分析人士指出,尽管存在个人化外交的表象,但两国在多领域仍深陷激烈竞争,当前走向继续有利于中国。

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特朗普与习近平举行最新领导人峰会,就人工智能、贸易和台湾等议题展开接触。

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迄今为止,特朗普与习近平的这次领导人峰会未能在人工智能、台湾问题、贸易等热点议题上发布任何重大政策声明。

无论是亲自接机还是盛大晚宴,特朗普显然努力向外界展示他对习近平的重视,以及两人之间的良好关系。不过,习近平对于这种“个人化外交”是否买账,值得质疑。

“特朗普的‘个人化外交’是一种单方面的构想——主要存在于他自己的想象中。他或许认为自己与习近平的个人情谊是塑造美中关系的关键因素,但几乎没有任何证据支持这一说法,”柏林墨卡托中国研究中心(MERICS)的高级分析师因西萨(Aurelio Insisa)对德国之声表示。

尽管特朗普和习近平“表现出友好姿态”,但两国在贸易、科技、台湾问题、国防、稀土及产业政策等领域“依然深陷激烈的竞争之中”,亚洲协会政策研究所(Asia Society Policy Institute)的拉塞尔(Daniel Russel)对法新社表示。

台湾问题并未成为峰会焦点

在几乎每一次特朗普与习近平的峰会上,人们都担心这位奉行交易主义的美国总统会为了与北京达成协议,而拿对台湾的支持作为筹码。

这种担忧因特朗普推迟了一项价值140亿美元的对台军售案而加剧。在5月的峰会后,特朗普曾称该军售案是一个“很好的谈判筹码”。

政治风险咨询公司欧亚集团(Eurasia Group)负责中国与东北亚事务的高级分析师邱达明(Dominic Chiu)告诉德国之声,他预计,为了维持中美贸易休战局面,“对台军售案可能会面临延期。”

台湾外交部次长吴志中在周六(9月26日)则强调,由于台美持续保持沟通,加上美国跨党派议员表态,台湾政府目前并不担忧美国对台支持和军售政策出现动摇。他也表示,美国向台湾军售并维护其自由和世界半导体供应,符合美国的国家利益。

台湾成功大学政治学教授王宏仁对路透社表示,据他观察,习近平似乎并未直接提及军售问题,台湾问题也未成为峰会焦点。他说:“从结果来看,许多我们预想会很糟糕的情况并未发生。”

“中美关系的当前走向继续有利于中国”

在周四的白宫晚宴上,习近平表示,“实现中华民族伟大复兴和让美国再次伟大并行不悖”,他此前在特朗普5月访问北京时也有类似的表态。

然而分析师认为,在类似的言论背后,北京眼中的趋势并未改变,即以美国为主导的世界秩序正在衰落,正所谓“百年未有之大变局”。

墨卡托中国研究中心的分析师因西萨对德国之声说:“此次峰会证明,双边关系的当前走向继续有利于中国。”

他说,在特朗普重回白宫以及2025年4月宣布全球范围内的关税战以来,“中国已经完善了应对特朗普的策略。” 他补充道,“目前,北京找到了一种既能让特朗普政府保持接触,又能避免(美方)在人工智能治理、贸易关系和出口管制等最紧迫问题上采取实质性行动的方法。”

预计下一次“特习会”将在今年11月中国深圳举行的APEC峰会期间进行。届时,这些议题很可能仍将摆在谈判桌上,而习近平有耐心等待。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 下一次特习会在11月中国深圳举行的APEC峰会期间进行

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 下一次特习会是否能在11月APEC峰会期间举行?
  • 延期的对台军售案最终将如何处理?

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This article was originally published by 德国之声.

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