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Back黃金價格週五上漲逾1%,短暫反彈但本週仍下跌
黃金價格週五上漲逾1%,短暫反彈但本週仍下跌
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自由时报19 minutes agoBusiness1 min readChinaView translation

黃金價格週五上漲逾1%,短暫反彈但本週仍下跌

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黃金價格週五上漲1.1%至每盎司4363.01美元,短暫反彈近期跌勢,儘管強勁美國通膨數據提升聯準會升息預期。現貨白銀、鉑金、鈀金亦同步上漲,但本週貴金屬多仍下跌。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

黃金價格近期受美元走強和升息預期壓力持續下跌,週五因技術性反彈短暫回升。

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黃金價格週五(11日)上漲逾1%。(彭博)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕黃金價格週五(11日)上漲逾1%,從近期跌勢中反彈,即使強勁的美國通膨數據提高市場對聯準會下週升息的預期,金價仍找到短期支撐。

現貨黃金上漲1.1%,報每盎司4363.01美元。不過,金價本週仍下跌約1.5%。

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獨立金屬交易員Tai Wong表示:「金價在短暫下跌後迅速回升,因為消費者物價指數(CPI)數據可能正在鞏固市場對聯準會下週升息的預期。波動性有所降低,因為市場已反映70%的升息機率。目前的價格走勢顯示,在近期回落後,金價正在找到短期底部。」

美國黃金期貨收盤幾乎持平,報每盎司4408.90美元。

週四公布的美國生產者物價指數(PPI)數據顯示,8月物價漲幅符合市場預期後,金價週四下跌近2%。

美國勞工部勞工統計局(BLS)週五表示,消費者物價指數(CPI)上月上漲0.4%,7月則小幅上升0.1%。

國際油價本週收高,油價上漲會加劇通膨疑慮,強化市場對升息的押注。儘管黃金通常被視為抗通膨工具,但較高的利率會降低不孳息黃金的吸引力。

根據CME FedWatch工具,交易員目前押注聯準會下週政策會議升息的機率為87%,高於通膨數據公布前的67%。

本週印度黃金需求低迷,因價格波動令買家卻步;另一方面,全球最大黃金消費國中國的投資需求仍然強勁。

其他貴金屬方面,現貨白銀上漲1.6%,報每盎司64.54美元,但本週仍下跌2.6%。

鉑金上漲1%,報每盎司1792.11美元;鈀金上漲2.1%,報每盎司1308.63美元。不過,這兩種貴金屬本週都出現跌幅。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 聯準會將在下週政策會議上升息25個基點

    Very likely · Within days

  • 黃金短期內將在4300-4400美元區間內震盪

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 聯準會是否將在下週會議上如預期般升息25個基點?
  • 若升息落實,黃金是否將再次跌破關鍵支撐位?
  • 中國和印度的實體需求是否能夠抵禦利率對貴金屬的壓力?

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