
根據國際貨幣基金(IMF)預測,台灣人均GDP將於2031年達到13萬6337美元,超越挪威與瑞士。
根據IMF最新預測,2031年全球人均GDP(購買力平價)排名中,列支敦斯登與新加坡位居前二。台灣預計以13萬6337美元排名第8,表現亮眼,超越挪威與瑞士等傳統富裕國家。
AI-generated summary
該排名基於國際貨幣基金(IMF)以購買力平價(PPP)計算的人均GDP預測數據。購買力平價旨在調整各國物價差異,使經濟產出更具可比性。
全球富裕國家預測排名!根據國際貨幣基金(IMF)最新預測,到了2031年,歐洲國家列支敦斯登預計仍將蟬聯全球人均GDP最高的經濟體,新加坡則以超過21萬美元緊追在後。值得注意的是,台灣人均GDP預計將從2026年的10萬3743美元,大幅成長至2031年的13萬6337美元,排名第8,超越挪威、瑞士等歐洲富裕國家,表現備受關注。
根據最新公布的全球經濟預測數據,這份排名以購買力平價(PPP)計算人均GDP,並比較2026年與2031年的預測數值,排出全球前25名。購買力平價主要是調整各國物價水準差異,讓不同經濟體的人均經濟產出更具可比性。
從2031年排名來看,列支敦斯登預計以22萬6009美元的人均GDP位居全球第1,新加坡則以21萬5234美元排名第2,兩者都將突破20萬美元。愛爾蘭預計以18萬2089美元升至第3名,澳門以17萬3925美元排名第4,盧森堡則以17萬3819美元退居第5名。
能源出口國的成長表現也相當亮眼。卡達人均GDP預計將從2026年的10萬3804美元,增加至2031年的17萬374美元,增幅高達64%,排名也將從原本的第10名左右升至第6名。南美洲國家蓋亞那則預計成長43%,以14萬1840美元排名第7;阿拉伯聯合大公國人均GDP也預計增加37%。
台灣同樣是這份排名中的亮點。預測顯示,台灣人均GDP將從2026年的10萬3743美元,成長至2031年的13萬6337美元,增幅達31%,排名第8,超越挪威及瑞士。挪威預計以13萬2212美元排名第9,瑞士則以12萬3488美元位居第10。
其他亞洲國家,香港人均GDP預計達10萬3316美元,排名第15,南韓則以人均GDP預計8萬7745美元,排名第25名。
美國方面,預計2031年人均GDP將提高至11萬5000美元左右,但排名仍維持第12名,與2026年相同,顯示即使經濟持續成長,仍可能受到其他國家更快成長的影響。
至於歐洲傳統富裕國家,部分排名則面臨下滑。盧森堡預計從第3名降至第5名,挪威與瑞士則各自下跌3個名次。儘管這些國家的人均GDP仍有望成長約11%至15%,但成長幅度不及部分能源出口國,因而在排名上遭到超越。
分析指出,各國經濟成長動能有所不同。新加坡與盧森堡等金融中心,主要受惠於高附加價值產業;卡達與蓋亞那等能源出口國,則有望隨著能源產量增加,進一步推升經濟產出。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台灣2031年人均GDP將達13萬6337美元
Possible · Within years
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