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Back10月進口物價漲幅創近50年最大 主計總處:無輸入性通膨
10月進口物價漲幅創近50年最大 主計總處:無輸入性通膨
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自由时报24 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

10月進口物價漲幅創近50年最大 主計總處:無輸入性通膨

進口物價指數創近50年最大漲幅,主計總處表示多數產品供應出口,對國內消費端影響有限。

Quick Look

台灣10月消費者物價指數(CPI)年增2.33%,連續6個月超過2%警戒線。儘管進口物價指數創近50年最大漲幅,主計總處表示因多數產品用於出口,國內無輸入性通膨問題,預估11月CPI漲幅將略微擴大。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

10月CPI年增率為2.33%,已連續6個月超過2%的通膨警戒線。進口物價指數以新台幣計價年增33.32%,創民國66年1月以來最大漲幅。

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主計總處今天公布10月消費者物價指數(CPI)年增2.33%,漲幅收斂。儘管進口物價指數創近50年最大漲幅,主計總處官員表示,多數產品以供應出口為主,對國內消費端影響相對有限,沒有輸入性通膨問題;目前國內物價屬溫和上漲,預估11月CPI年增率將較10月略高。

主計總處統計,10月CPI年增率為2.33%,已連續6個月超過2%的通膨警戒線,扣除蔬果、能源後的核心CPI年增率則為2.23%。

主計總處物價統計科簡任視察蔡秀慧說明,10月CPI年增率較9月縮小0.41個百分點,主要受到4項因素影響,包括蔬菜價格9月年增率4.94%,10月轉為下跌3.89%;電價年增幅縮小;個人隨身用品漲幅收斂,以及中秋節落在不同月份,使個人照顧服務費下跌。

蔡秀慧表示,儘管CPI漲幅連續6個月超過2%,綜觀物價品項仍是有漲有跌,目前國內物價仍屬溫和上漲。

至於10月外食費年增3.01%,已連續5個月漲幅達3%以上。蔡秀慧指出,今年前10月外食費平均年增3%,相較民國111年受到俄烏戰爭、農糧價格上漲影響,全年外食費漲幅達5.77%,目前已較當時趨緩,但對民眾而言,外食費的消費頻率高,對價格上漲的感受較明顯,主計總處將密切觀察數據變化。

值得注意的是,10月進口物價指數,以新台幣計價年增33.32%,創民國66年1月以來最大漲幅,以美元計價年增26.72%,為民國69年3月以來最大漲幅。

蔡秀慧表示,10月進口物價指數上揚,主要是以美元計價的礦產品價格年增58.35%,基本金屬及其製品年增19.1%,機器、電機及電視影像等設備及其零件則年增31.7%。她解釋,礦產品價格上漲主要受到國際原油價格走高影響;至於機器、電機及相關零件,則反映AI需求,帶動記憶體等電子零組件價格走升。

蔡秀慧指出,部分電子零組件價格上漲,可能反映在國內電腦、行動電話等消費性電子產品售價,不過這些零組件大多為出口所用,對國內消費端影響相對有限;原油價格方面,政府也已採取平穩物價措施,目前沒有輸入性通膨問題。

展望11月,蔡秀慧表示,由於去年10月適逢中秋節,墊高比較基期,使今年10月CPI漲幅相對收斂,隨著節慶因素消去,預估11月CPI年增率仍將高於2%,且漲幅可能較10月擴大。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 11月CPI年增率將高於2%,且漲幅可能較10月擴大。

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 外食費漲幅是否會持續影響民眾消費感受?
  • 11月CPI漲幅擴大的具體幅度為何?

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