
Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, issued a forecast, suggesting focusing on four aspects: low-temperature rain and snow, heavy precipitation, meteorological drought and forest fire danger, and calm and stable weather.
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The China Meteorological Administration held a press conference on November 3. Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, released the climate trend forecast for November, covering temperature and precipitation forecasts across the country and many provinces and regions, and put forward prevention recommendations in four aspects.
China News Service, November 3rd. On November 3rd, the China Meteorological Administration held a press conference. Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, released the climate trend forecast for November at the meeting.
November climate trend forecast
In terms of temperature: the temperature in most parts of the country is close to normal for the same period of the year to higher. Among them, southeastern Jiangsu, Shanghai, most of Zhejiang, most of Fujian, southern Jiangsu, Taiwan, southern Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, southern Guizhou, southeastern Yunnan, northern Sichuan, southwestern Shaanxi, most of Ningxia, most of Gansu, Qinghai, central and southern Xinjiang, and northeastern Tibet are 1 to 2°C higher.
Precipitation: parts of northwest Heilongjiang, parts of western and northeastern Inner Mongolia, northern Shaanxi, most of Ningxia, central and western Gansu, northern Qinghai, most of Jiangsu, Shanghai, Zhejiang, most of Anhui, most of Jiangxi, northwest Fujian, eastern Hubei, Hunan, northern Guangxi, eastern Guizhou, parts of southeastern Chongqing, central and eastern Xinjiang, Southeastern Tibet and other places had an excess of 20% to 50%, and southern Jiangsu, Shanghai, central and northern Zhejiang, southern Anhui, northwest Jiangxi, northwest Fujian, southeastern Hubei, and eastern Hunan were 50% to 80% above normal. Precipitation in the rest of the country was close to normal for the same period of the year to less than normal, with precipitation in northwest Yunnan, most of central and western Sichuan, and western Tibet being 20% to 50% below normal.
According to the November climate trend forecast, it is recommended to focus on four aspects:
The first is to prevent low temperature, frost, rain and snow disasters. It is expected that cold air activity in the northern region will be stronger in phases in November, and there will be risks of meteorological disasters such as periodic low temperatures, strong winds, and frosts; North China, western and northeastern Inner Mongolia, north-central Northwest China, most of Xinjiang, and southeastern Tibet will have more precipitation than the same period in normal years, and there will be strong risks of periodic rain and snow disasters. It is recommended that facility agriculture and animal husbandry be prepared in advance for cold protection, warmth, and wind resistance; the transportation, energy, and power departments should prepare emergency plans for low-temperature rain and snow disasters.
The second is to prevent periodic heavy rainfall. It is expected that there will be more precipitation in East China, most of Central China, and northern South China in November. It is necessary to pay close attention to local floods and geological disaster risks caused by continuous rain and heavy precipitation; strengthen field drainage and water resources management, and reasonably arrange the progress of autumn harvest and autumn planting.
The third is to prevent meteorological drought and forest fires. At present, there is a certain degree of meteorological drought in most of the central and western parts of Southwest China. It is expected that the precipitation in the above-mentioned areas in November will be close to the same period of the year to less than normal, and the temperature will be relatively high. The meteorological drought may continue or develop. It is recommended to strengthen water source management and regulation, make water conservation, drought prevention and drought response plans to ensure the water needs of urban and rural residents for living, production and agriculture; at the same time, it is necessary to strengthen forest fire management and do a good job in forest fire prevention.
The fourth is to prevent the adverse effects of periodic calm weather. North China, northern Northeast China, northern Central China and other places have meteorological conditions that are unfavorable to atmospheric diffusion such as high atmospheric stability and low wind speed. It is recommended to pay attention to the adverse effects of calm and stable weather on transportation and population health and take measures in advance.
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Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, said that four cold air processes are expected to affect our country in November, with the frequency close to the same period in normal years and the intensity being "strong at first and weak at the end." There will be two cold air processes in the next two weeks. From the 5th to the 7th, it will affect Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, and northern Jiangnan. The temperature will drop by 4°C to 8°C, with local temperatures exceeding 10°C. From the 12th to the 16th, it will mainly affect Xinjiang, northwest, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai and other places. In the northern region, there are risks of meteorological disasters such as periodic low temperatures, strong winds and frosts. In many places, there is excessive precipitation, and there is a strong risk of periodic rain and snow disasters.

China Weather Network reports that rainfall will increase and intensify in the south from November 3 to 4, with local heavy rains; a new round of rainfall is coming from November 6 to 8, and heavy rains may occur in some areas of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The meteorological department reminds to guard against secondary disasters and traffic safety risks caused by continuous rainfall.