
AI-generated summary
The New Taipei City mayoral election is underway. The current mayor, Hou Youyi, has publicly supported KMT candidate Li Sichuan as his successor. However, multiple polls have shown that Li Sichuan has not been significantly promoted.
Shen Boyang, Su Qiaohui and the people present enthusiastically shouted, "Ocean currents gather together! Win-win for both sides." (File photo)
The latest polls for the New Taipei City mayoral election show DPP candidate Su Qiaohui leading the KMT candidate Li Sichuan. In this regard, Huang Weihan, a senior media person, said that the polls are for reference only, and the victory or defeat is still undecided. Instead of blindly denying the current, it is better to recognize the facts quickly and evaluate the possible final impact.
Has the "ocean current" turned into a tsunami? Huang Weihan stated in a Facebook post that the People's Association and polling expert Dai Lian released a New Taipei City poll yesterday. Su Qiaohui won by 13.1 percentage points. Dai Lian analyzed that this was due to the overflow of the ocean current, which directly boosted the New Taipei City mayoral election. The ocean current has now turned into a tsunami. The various surprises and disbelief on the Internet are not as good as Ma Ying-jeou's all-purpose answer many years ago: "Polls are one-time and one-time. We will pay attention to it and not care too much."
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Huang Weihan pointed out that instead of disbelieving Dai Li'an, the Blue Camp should look back and examine an issue. The New Taipei City Council Group of the Kuomintang commissioned TVBS to publish four New Taipei polls:
"6/2-6 Li Sichuan won 6.2%,
7/20-23 Li Sichuan wins 6.9%
8/28-30 Li Sichuan wins 6.7%,
9/29-10/3 Li Sichuan wins 6.7%"
He said that the current mayor Hou Youyi was 70% satisfied. He accompanied him to register on September 4 and announced that "Li Sichuan is my next hit". He also took over as the chairman of the committee on September 19. Hou Youyi's comprehensive statement did not help Li Sichuan to have any increase in the October polls, and he still maintained a lead of 6.7%. Isn't this a warning sign for Li Sichuan? Shouldn't you be worried?
Huang Weihan bluntly said that the polls are for reference only, and the victory or defeat is still uncertain. Instead of blindly denying the ocean current, it is better to quickly recognize the facts and evaluate the possible final impact.
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Su Qiaohui's chances of winning in New Taipei mayoral election increase
Likely · Within weeks

Democratic Progressive Party Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang's campaign headquarters inauguration meeting, well-known host Cai Kangyong personally attended the event to support. Chen Binhua, spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council of China, said that safeguarding unity and opposing "Taiwan independence" is the common will of all Chinese people. He accused Shen Boyang and Tsai Kangyong of making money from China while supporting Taiwan independence and being "two-faced people." The Mainland Affairs Council emphasized Taiwan's freedom of elections and China threatened voters' right to choose.

As the race for mayor of Taipei heats up, scholar Li Zhongxian pointed out that China not only opposes Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang, but also tries its best to prevent his election. He believes that China's interference in Taiwan's elections is not at the level of an election campaign, but a national security issue that must be strictly investigated by national security agencies. He also emphasized that the biggest challenge to Taiwan has always been China's annexation ambitions.

The Kuomintang group pointed out that after former Executive President Su Tseng-chang replaced the chairman of Taiwan Enterprise Bank, Taiwan Enterprise Bank led the National Development Fund to invest 19.999 million yuan in "Kueshi Intelligent", where legislator Su Qiaohui's sister Su Qiaochun served as chairman and chief operating officer, raising 45 million yuan. It questioned the failure to disclose the relationship in accordance with the conflict of interest avoidance law for public officials, and questioned the subsidy disbursement process and the company's current situation.

Taiwan's local elections will be held at the end of November. This article explores the historical formation and recent changes of the "North Blue and South Green" political landscape, pointing out that ethnic identity, economic structure and cross-Strait relations are key factors, and the flow of voters in the middle will become an important variable affecting the election results.

The Taipei mayoral race in Taiwan's 2026 nine-in-one local elections has entered a fierce stage. The support gap between Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang and the current KMT mayor Chiang Wanan has narrowed from 28 percentage points to 8 percentage points. Shen Boyang rose to prominence with his "Ocean Current" political voice, attracting the attention of middle voters, while Jiang Wanan emphasized his political achievements and warned that this was the most intense election he had ever faced. The election results will affect President Lai’s midterm review and the prelude to the 2028 presidential election.

A poll conducted by the People's Association shows that Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1 percentage points in the New Taipei City election. Zhao Xiaohui analyzed that Shen Boyang needs to rely on three strategies to win the Taipei mayoral election: creating a positive energy municipal election campaign, taking advantage of Jiang Wanan’s mistakes, and mobilizing pan-green and centrist voters. She pointed out that if the turnout rate reaches 75%, other voters except the Deep Blue Iron vote will abandon Chiang and vote for Shen, and Shen Boyang will be elected.