On the afternoon of the 9th, Taipei mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party Shen Boyang attended the inaugural meeting of the Beixinzhuang joint campaign with New Taipei mayoral candidate Su Qiaohui of the same party, and once again staged a wonderful combination of "ocean currents and wisdom". (Photo by reporter Luo Peide)
The nine-in-one election campaign is heating up. Polling expert Dai Lian released the latest poll on the New Taipei City mayoral election today (13th). Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei mayor candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, has 43.1% support, significantly leading the KMT candidate Li Sichuan by 30.0%. The gap between the two sides is 13.1 percentage points. In this regard, legislator Lin Junxian said that according to Mr. Dai Lian's estimation, Su Qiaohui's actual lead is still within the range of change, so the "ocean currents and wisdom" can only be truly realized if the votes are in.
Lin Junxian posted a post on social media today and pointed out, "The latest New Taipei mayor poll of Dai Li'an has been released. Su Qiaohui has thrown away the twist and leads Li Sichuan by 13.1 percentage points." The gap suddenly widened because when the previous polls were executed, the "ocean current" led by DPP's Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang was still forming. Everyone had just started to discuss it, and it was not sure whether it could be converted into actual support.
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Lin Junxian analyzed that, however, the poll announced today was conducted in October, which is exactly the period when the ocean currents began to spread in an all-round way, and the momentum was strong and strong, which was naturally clearly reflected in the poll numbers. This is true in New Taipei today and Taichung yesterday. Moreover, Taipei and New Taipei were linked, but the Kuomintang did not fight jointly. The life circles of the two norths affect each other. Therefore, when Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan was exposed by the voters, the original plan to rely on Chiang to save Li naturally became difficult to implement.
Lin Junxian bluntly said that a while ago, it was even Li who relied on Li to pull Chiang, which led to the ridiculous scene of Li praising Chiang as the mayor who was the best at memorizing drafts he had seen since he entered politics. Let’s look at the recent issues at Songshan Airport. Li Sichuan said that the MRT would be extended to the airport, and Jiang Wanan said that the airport would be demolished. The two nonsensical conflicts of political opinions made the people in both north and south confused and turned into a joke.
Lin Junxian reminded, "However, Mr. Dai Lian also mentioned that if other comprehensive factors are included in the weighting and the actual voting results are further estimated, Su Qiaohui is about 4.1 percentage points ahead, which is still in the stage of possible change. Be careful of fear, and only if the votes are counted, the "ocean currents and wisdom" can truly be realized. "
This poll was entrusted by the Trustees Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted telephone interviews. From October 6 to October 8, the survey targets were people registered in New Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,073 people were successfully interviewed (750 people on residential phones and 323 people on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% was ±3.0%.
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Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1% Dai Lian: Ocean currents have turned into tsunamis
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Dai Li'an's New Taipei polls exposed! Su Qiaohui throws away Li Sichuan, Zhang Yigan warns and takes precautions step by step
In the poll, Jiang Qichen was only 1.9 percentage points behind, but Lu Xiuyan's camp still won. He Xinchun: Young people are leading by a large margin
The results of the second election poll of the People's Association of New Taipei Province [New Taipei City Mayor] were released. It was hosted by Huang Qinglong, the founding chairman of the People's Association of New Taipei, and polling expert Dai Li'an (see picture) personally explained on the spot. (Photo by reporter Tu Jianrong)
Lin Junxian. (File photo)
