
AI-generated summary
The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a medium-term weather forecast on October 13, predicting the national weather trend in the next ten days.
China News Service, October 13. According to the website of the Central Meteorological Observatory, the Central Meteorological Observatory issued a medium-term weather forecast on the 13th.
In the next ten days, the temperature will be relatively high in places such as Jiangnan and South China. From the 16th to the 18th, there will be widespread precipitation in the north of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.
In the next 10 days (October 13-22), the cumulative precipitation in the eastern part of Northwest China, central and northern North China, southern Northeastern China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, northern Jiangnan, eastern Southwest China, and southern Yunnan will be 20 to 50 mm. Among them, Chongqing, central and southern Hubei, and central Guizhou will receive 20 to 50 mm of precipitation. In the north, northern Hunan, northern Jiangxi, and western Anhui, there were 60 to 180 mm, and locally it exceeded 200 mm. The cumulative precipitation in the above areas was 40% to 80% higher than the same period in normal years, and locally 1 to 2 times. The precipitation in southern Jiangnan, South China, and the eastern and southern parts of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was 30% to 70% less.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
In the next 10 days, the average temperature in Xinjiang, northwest China, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, central and western Inner Mongolia, North China, and the central and northern parts of Northeast China will be 1 to 3°C lower than the same period in normal years. The temperature in most other parts of my country will be higher, with some areas in Jiangnan, South China, and Guizhou having temperatures that are 3 to 5°C higher.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
Main weather processes:
On the 13th, due to the influence of cold air, most of the Northeastern region and the eastern part of the Huanghuai River will have a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C; central and eastern Inner Mongolia and the western part of the Northeast will have winds of magnitude 4 to 5 and gusts of magnitude 6 to 7.
From the 13th to the 15th, there were moderate to heavy rains in Chongqing, northern Guizhou, northern Jiangnan, Jianghan and southwestern Jianghuai, with heavy rains in some areas and local heavy rains; some areas were accompanied by thunder and lightning and short-term heavy rainfall.
From the 15th to the 19th, northern Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, western and northern Jiangnan experienced temperatures of 4 to 6°C, with local temperatures falling above 8°C, and some areas were accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 5 and gusts of magnitude 6 to 8.
From the 16th to the 18th, there will be moderate to heavy rains and local heavy rains in the eastern part of Northwest China, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, Jianghan, northern Jiangnan, and Chongqing; there will be rain and snow in high-altitude areas such as northern Xinjiang, Gansu, Qinghai, northeastern Inner Mongolia, and northern Heilongjiang.
Around the 20th, there were light to moderate rains in the eastern part of Southwest China, western Jiangnan and other places, and locally heavy to heavy rains.
Weather outlook for the next 11-14 days
In the next 11-14 days (October 23-26), the cumulative precipitation in the eastern part of Southwest China, Jianghan, western Jiangnan, western and southern South China and other places will be 5 to 10 mm, and 15 to 30 mm locally. The average temperature in Xinjiang, northern Northeast China, and the eastern Tibetan Plateau and other places is 1 to 2°C higher than normal for the same period, and the temperature in most other parts of my country is close to normal or slightly lower.
High Impact Weather and Concerns
From 1.16 to 18, there will be widespread precipitation in the north of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.
In the next 10 days, precipitation will increase in the central and eastern regions. The main precipitation processes will occur around the 13th to 15th, 16th to 18th, and 20th. The cumulative rainy days in Jianghan, Jianghuai, northwest Jiangnan, and eastern southwest China will reach 4 to 8 days. The cumulative precipitation from Guizhou to the northern part of Jiangnan and the areas north of it was 40% to 80% higher than the same period in normal years, and locally it was 1 to 2 times higher.
2.Typhoon forecast
There will be another typhoon forming in the northwest Pacific, which will have no impact on my country in the next 10 days.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
In the next 10 days, the cumulative precipitation in the northern part of Jiangnan and the areas north of it will be 40% to 80% higher than the same period in normal years, and locally it will be 1 to 2 times higher.
Very likely · Within days
In the next 10 days, the average temperature in Xinjiang, northern Northeast China, and eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau will be 1 to 2°C higher than the same period in normal years.
Very likely · Within days
There will be another typhoon forming in the northwest Pacific, which will have no impact on my country in the next 10 days.
Very likely · Within days

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The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has established an important habitat for Bryde's whales on Weizhou Island, Beihai, Guangxi, with a sea area of 335.43 square kilometers and a fishing ban period of 8.5 months. It aims to protect the national first-level protected wild animal Bryde's whales and their habitats, and fill the gap in the protection of the habitats of large coastal whales in my country.

Jia Xingxing, director of Taiwan Integrated Disaster Prevention Engineering Technology Consulting Company, pointed out that there have been three major changes in the recent weather: flash northeast winds, autumn high temperatures soaring to 32-33 degrees, and stronger northeast monsoons starting on the 21st. Guam's low-pressure system may develop into Typhoon Qiangpi, the 25th typhoon this year, as soon as the 14th. The high temperature in the central and southern parts will remain at 30-31 degrees, and there will be less rainfall. Only sporadic short-term rain will occur in the mountainous areas and southern Gaoping in the afternoon. South Korea was affected by two waves of fronts, with heavy rainfall on the 13th and 18th. It rained heavily in Seoul, so it is recommended to prepare rain gear.

Tropical Disturbance 96W is located in the low-latitude waters southeast of Guam. It is expected to gradually integrate and develop in the next 2 to 3 days. It may intensify into a typhoon after Thursday at the earliest. However, various weather models have obvious differences in the time, location and extent of its northward turn. It remains to be seen whether it will approach Taiwan in the future.

Affected by the cold air, the temperature in the north has dropped significantly, and the lowest temperature in many places in the Northeast has dropped to near freezing point. The highest temperature in Harbin on the 14th was only 10°C, and the lowest temperature will fall below freezing point on the morning of the 15th. In the south, affected by the intersection of cold and warm air, rainfall will occur from the southwest to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. There will be heavy rain or heavy rain in local areas, and we need to be alert to secondary disasters.

Yesterday, moderate to heavy rains occurred in Shanxi, Hebei, Liaoning and other places. Inner Mongolia and North China and other places experienced cooling. This morning, heavy fog appeared in central and southern North China and Jiangsu and other places. Cold air will continue to affect the northern region on the 13th, and attention should be paid to the impact of strong wind cooling on health and traffic; from the 13th to the 15th, there will be a heavy rainfall process from the eastern part of southwest China to the northern part of Jiangnan. The cumulative rainfall in some areas is relatively large, and secondary disaster prevention needs to be strengthened.