Newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes patients have a 32.9% risk of chronic kidney disease, heart failure or death within 5 years

2026/10/03 11:17

The picture shows using a blood glucose machine to measure blood sugar. The latest study analyzed nearly 1.62 million adults with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and estimated the combined risk of chronic kidney disease, heart failure or death within 5 years of diagnosis to be 32.9%. (File photo)

[Compiled by Chen Chengliang/Comprehensive Report] Within 5 years after type 2 diabetes is diagnosed, the combined risk of chronic kidney disease, heart failure or death reaches 32.9%. A large study of nearly 1.62 million newly diagnosed patients further found that chronic kidney disease more often occurs first than heart failure.

The medical science website Medical The research team analyzed nearly 1.62 million adults with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes to estimate the order of occurrence and subsequent risks of chronic kidney disease and heart failure.

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The study found that within 5 years after diabetes was diagnosed, the risk of developing chronic kidney disease first was 19.0%, and the risk of developing heart failure first was 8.3%. If the patient develops chronic kidney disease first, the risk of developing heart failure in the next five years is 22.7%; if the patient develops heart failure first, the risk of developing chronic kidney disease within the next five years is 42.0%.

The research team further estimated that the combined risk of developing chronic kidney disease, heart failure or death within 5 years from type 2 diabetes diagnosis was 32.9%; when followed for 10 years, the risk rose to 55.1%.

Naveed Sattar, lead author of the study and professor of metabolic medicine at the University of Glasgow, said that common factors such as obesity, dyslipidemia, high blood pressure and high blood sugar may cause damage to blood vessels and important organs. He noted that the findings underscore the importance of early detection and treatment of type 2 diabetes.