Qiang Pi may be upgraded to a powerful platform! Wu Derong reveals the path of the northeast monsoon intensifying and changing weather in "these two days" next week

Wu Derong pointed out that there is a chance that light Taiwan Qiangpi will intensify into a strong one. The simulation paths of each system are scattered and the uncertainty is still large. (Excerpted from the column of Leaking Tianji Classroom)

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science of Central University, pointed out that today (16th) it will be sunny in the west and occasionally rainy in the east, with a high temperature of 35 degrees. There is a chance that the light station Qiangpi will intensify into a strong station. The simulated paths of each system are scattered and uncertain, and further observation is needed.

Wu Derong said in the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation's "Tianji Classroom" column today that the latest (20:00 on the 15th) European (ECMWF) model simulation shows that the moisture on the east side will gradually decrease from today to next Tuesday (20th), the eastern half will be sunny and cloudy with occasional localized short-term rainfall, and the western half will be clear and stable; the daytime temperature is relatively high, and the temperature difference between day and night is large, which is an "autumn tiger" pattern.

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Wu Derong pointed out that the latest model simulation shows that the northeast monsoon will strengthen next Wednesday and Thursday (21st and 22nd), with rain on the windward side and a drop in temperature; the impact on the leeward side will be slight.

Wu Derong analyzed that the latest (at 2:00 on the 16th) typhoon track potential forecast map of the Meteorological Administration shows that Light Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi is on the sea east of Guam, heading northwest and west toward the sea south of Japan, and there is a chance that it will continue to strengthen into a strong typhoon in the future.

The latest European model ensemble simulation shows that Qiangbi is in the sea east of Guam, heading northwest and west, and its future path is mostly in the sea south of Japan, turning northeast. Wu Derong said that because the simulation paths of each system are scattered and show great uncertainty, the model will continue to be adjusted and further observation is needed.

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