
中斷10年後重啟,分析認為美國旨在避免柬埔寨戰略完全倒向中國
柬埔寨軍方宣布將於2027年2月恢復與美國中斷10年的「吳哥哨兵」聯合軍演。此舉被視為雙方修補關係的進展,分析家認為美國此舉旨在防止柬埔寨在戰略上完全倒向中國,並限制北京在當地的戰略主導地位。
AI-generated summary
吳哥哨兵軍演曾舉行7年,柬埔寨於2017年因與中國舉行「金龍」軍演後取消該演習。華府長期關切中國在柬埔寨雲壤海軍基地的軍事存在。
柬埔寨軍方4日宣布,將於明年初恢復與美國的聯合軍事演習「吳哥哨兵」(Angkor Sentinel);這項聯合軍演中斷10年後重啟,分析家認為,美國目的或許不在「贏回柬埔寨」,而是避免柬國在戰略上完全倒向中國。
美聯社、南華早報報導,柬埔寨王家陸軍宣布,柬美兩國已同意將於2027年2月舉行「吳哥哨兵」(Angkor Sentinel)聯合軍演,強化「協同行動和災害應變能力,並反映出柬美軍事合作的新動能,以及共同致力於加強國防合作」。
之前吳哥哨兵演習曾舉行過7年,直到柬國2016年底首次與中國舉行「金龍」聯合軍演後,2017年初突然宣布取消。恢復軍演意味著,兩國就化解彼此歧見,包括柬國與中國之間密切的政經關係,已有進展。
華府尤其一直關切中國在柬國臨泰國灣雲壤(Ream)海軍基地的軍事存在,擔心獲得北京大力協助升級的雲壤基地,會成為中國第一個區域軍事前哨,在南海附近占有作戰優勢,破壞勢力平衡。
柬埔寨和美國近期舉行了數輪高層國防等官員會面,希望修補雙方動盪的關係。美國戰爭部(國防部)第3號人物、主管政策事務的次長柯伯吉(Elbridge Colby)上月訪問柬埔寨,與總理洪馬內和國防部長狄西哈(Tea Seiha)會談,討論雙邊關係、尤其是國防事務,以及恢復軍演。當時洪馬內表示,對「柬美關係的正面動能」,以及恢復吳哥哨兵軍演的籌備工作進展感到滿意。
美國太平洋艦隊司令柯勒(Stephen Koehler)8月初也訪問柬國,與柬埔寨王家軍隊總司令皮森(Vong Pisen)會面,雙方表示打算恢復同樣自2017年中斷至今的雙邊「海上戰備暨訓練聯合演習」(CARAT)。
美國亞利桑那州立大學教授、柬埔寨裔美籍政治學者伊爾(Sophal Ear)認為,美國的目標可能並非「贏回柬埔寨」,而是防止柬埔寨在戰略上獨惠中國;過去幾年美柬漸行漸遠,結果是柬國除了與中國軍事合作,少有其他可替代選項,「華府顯然結論認為,若要限制中國在柬埔寨的戰略主導地位,往來會比孤立有效」。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
美柬兩國將於2027年2月舉行聯合軍演
Very likely · Within months

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