Work begins for the 2027 minimum wage increase: Here are 5 different scenarios on the table
The process for the minimum wage, which will be valid in January 2027, starts in December. Experts evaluate raise scenarios ranging from 25 percent to 40 percent.
Quick Look
- Raise scenarios are becoming clear before the commission that will meet in December to determine the 2027 minimum wage.
- While Minister Işıkhan stated that there would be no victimization, experts predict an increase of 25-40 percent.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The minimum wage was increased to net 28,075 TL in January 2026.
The figure that the minimum wage will reach in the new year, which was increased to a net level of 28,075 TL with the increase made in January 2026, has become the most important agenda item in the markets.
Inflation figures, living indices and expert forecasts will play a decisive role in the negotiations to determine the new wage.
The decision taken by the commission will directly affect the salary scale of all employees, not just the minimum wage earner.
MINIMUM WAGE DETERMINATION COMMISSION WILL MEET IN DECEMBER
Work to determine the minimum wage that will be valid in the new year will accelerate in December.
Minister of Labor and Social Security Vedat Işıkhan stated that they will not victimize the minimum wage earner and will try to give the highest possible figure on the table.
The commission, consisting of workers, employers and government representatives, is planned to hold at least four meetings throughout December.
After the negotiations are completed, the final decision on the 2027 minimum wage is expected to be announced to the public between 20 and 25 December.
The new fee to be determined will officially come into force as of January 1, 2027.
THE POSSIBILITY OF 40 THOUSAND TL FOR THE NEW SALARY IS ON THE AGENDA
Financial experts make different predictions for increases over the current net minimum wage.
In the evaluations made by financial advisor Mustafa Genç, the possibility of a raise between 40 percent and 45 percent stands out.
If these rates are implemented in line with the economic management's inflation targets and market realities, the new minimum wage is expected to exceed the 40 thousand TL threshold.
SCENARIO SCENARIO 2027 MINIMUM WAGE INCREASE ESTIMATES LIST
In the light of expert evaluations, 5 different increase scenarios calculated based on the current net minimum wage are as follows:
25 PERCENT INCREASE SCENARIO
Net Minimum Wage: 35.094 TL
30 PERCENT INCREASE SCENARIO
Net Minimum Wage: 36.498 TL
35 PERCENT INCREASE SCENARIO
Net Minimum Wage: 37.902 TL
40 PERCENT INCREASE SCENARIO
Net Minimum Wage: 39.306 TL
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The commission is planned to hold at least four meetings in December.
Very likely · Within weeks
The final decision will be announced between 20-25 December.
Very likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- What will be the net amount of the new minimum wage?
- What proportion will emerge from the commission meetings?
