
AI-generated summary
The Trump administration had previously unilaterally withdrawn from the Iran nuclear deal and implemented a maximum pressure policy. Iran has repeatedly threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz as a means of retaliation. Regional tensions have escalated recently. The two sides have made indirect contacts through third parties. However, the nuclear issue and maritime blockade have become major obstacles to negotiations.
China News Service, September 28. According to the US Axios news website, US President Trump said in a telephone interview with the media on the 27th that he expected the United States and Iran to restart negotiations within the next week.
Asked if he was considering resuming attacks on Iran, Trump said he was "considering it all the time."
In addition, Trump also said that the US military is assisting in transporting "a large amount of oil" from the Strait of Hormuz. He said the volume of crude oil passing through the strait at the end of last week reached its highest level since the war began. "Over 20 million barrels," Trump said.
A U.S. defense official confirmed Trump's statement, saying 22 million barrels of crude oil were exported through the strait on Friday night.
The media also quoted regional sources as saying that the United States and Iran are expected to hold a new round of indirect dialogue as early as the 28th. Mediators such as Qatar are mediating, but the United States and Iran have huge differences on key issues. Iran hopes to focus negotiations on the opening of the Strait of Hormuz and lifting the U.S. naval blockade on Iran, while the Trump administration is demanding that Iran agree to make concessions on the nuclear issue.
Previously, on the 22nd, U.S. presidential envoy Witkov and Trump’s son-in-law Kushner had indirect talks with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi during the United Nations General Assembly in New York. According to US media reports, Iran proposed that if the United States lifts its naval blockade, lifts oil sales sanctions, and restores a regional ceasefire, Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restart nuclear negotiations within seven days. Trump confirmed to the media on the 26th that he had rejected Iran’s proposal.
In an interview with NBC on the 27th, Araghchi said that despite Trump's public remarks, the United States has not yet formally conveyed its decision to reject Iran's proposal to Iran through the mediator. Iran is ready to resume war with the United States and is ready for diplomatic contacts at any time. He said that the U.S. midterm elections are not a consideration for Iran. "We only care about our own national interests. We are willing to negotiate."
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The United States and Iran will restart negotiations through indirect means in the next week
Likely · Within days
Strait of Hormuz oil exports to remain high in the short term
Likely · Within weeks

Since the conflict between the United States and Iran broke out on February 28, the confrontation between the United States and Iran has lasted for seven months. The continued obstruction of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz has seriously affected the export of crude oil. Although the United States and Iran had reached a memorandum of understanding but it was quickly broken, the two sides are still prepared to resolve their differences through negotiations or military means. At the same time, the spillover of the situation in Iran has led to the escalation of the armed conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis in Yemen. The two sides have launched missile and drone attacks on each other. Schools in the Saudi capital Riyadh have switched to online teaching due to security concerns. Iran denies direct involvement in the Yemeni conflict, saying it only sympathizes with the oppressed and is prepared to mediate peace talks. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov called on the United States and Iran to return to the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding previously reached.

U.S. President Trump revealed on the 27th that although he rejected Iran’s seven-day ceasefire plan to reopen the Strait of Horz, he still expected the United States and Iran to resume negotiations next week. Axios reported that the two sides may start indirect negotiations as soon as the 28th. Iran insists on opening the Straits, the situation in the Middle East continues to be stalemate, and the war in Yemen has not stopped.

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Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said that Iran is ready to resume war with the United States, but has not given up contact through diplomatic channels. He reiterated Iran's readiness to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for unfreezing assets and selling oil, saying the conditions were not new requirements but were things the United States had committed to in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. An Iranian military spokesman said the armed forces were fully prepared to counter a possible U.S. attack.

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Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said that Iran is ready to resume war with the United States, but has not given up contact through diplomatic channels, saying that it depends on Trump's choice. He reiterated Iran's readiness to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for unfreezing assets and selling oil, while the Iranian military said it was fully prepared for confrontation.