Typhoon "Shadr" may intensify into a super typhoon, and the East China coast needs to be vigilant

China News Service, Beijing, August 21 (Reporter Chen Su) The reporter learned from the China Meteorological Administration on the 21st that this year's No. 18 Typhoon "Shadr" may intensify into a super typhoon and may land on the coast of East China.

Currently, there are multiple tropical systems active in the northwest Pacific and South China Sea at the same time: Typhoon "Shadel" is located in the ocean east of Guam, there is tropical low pressure activity in the Beibu Gulf, and a tropical disturbance is also developing in the ocean east of Taiwan. They are in the context of an active monsoon trough and will be jointly affected by the subtropical high, monsoon trough and other tropical disturbances in the coming days.

Dong Lin, chief forecaster of the Central Meteorological Observatory, said that the thermal conditions in the sea area where "Shadel" is located are good and its intensity will gradually increase. It is expected that it may reach its peak intensity in the next three days, up to super typhoon level, and gradually move toward the ocean east of the Ryukyu Islands.

What needs attention is that "Shadr" may pass through the waters near Ryukyu and enter the East China Sea around the 26th. After that, there are two main possibilities: one continues to move northwest, approaches and may land on the coast of East China around the 28th and 29th; the other is to move northeastward in the offshore China.

Dong Lin explained that the subtropical high pressure on the north side of "Shadr" is currently distributed in a band. If the subtropical high pressure can remain intact and continue to be maintained stably in the later period, "Shadr" will be guided by the easterly airflow from its south and the possibility of approaching China's offshore sea will increase. However, if the subtropical high pressure breaks or weakens, and a channel appears on its north side, "Shadr" may gradually turn to move northeast.

For South China, what is more urgent is the persistent wind and rain brought by the tropical depression in the Beibu Gulf. Meteorological experts reminded that in the next few days, attention should be paid to the superimposed effects of heavy rainfall in Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong and other places, as well as secondary disaster risks such as flash floods, geological disasters, and urban and rural waterlogging. As the low pressure may swing back and forth, the rainfall area may still adjust, so the public needs to pay attention to the latest forecasts and warnings in a timely manner.