World Arabica prices are down 25-30% year-over-year due to a record harvest in Brazil.

World prices for Arabica coffee have decreased by 25-30% over the year amid a record harvest in Brazil, which is the largest producer of this type of coffee, Anton Trenin, an expert at the ACRA corporate ratings group, told RIA Novosti.

“As of September 28, 2026, quotes were in the range of about 280-290 cents per pound. For comparison, in the same period in 2025, the contract price was about 380-390 cents per pound. Thus, over the year, the cost of Arabica has decreased by about 25-30%,” he said, citing Coffee C futures contracts on the ICE exchange, which are the main indicator of the global price of Arabica.

“The situation on the global coffee market in 2026 has improved thanks to the expected record harvest in Brazil,” the analyst added, recalling that the country is the largest producer of this type of coffee in the world.

The expert associated the increase in coffee production mainly with the restoration of Arabica yields and favorable growing conditions.

“The increase in supply has reduced concerns about shortages of raw materials and has become one of the factors putting pressure on world prices,” he explained.

At the same time, Trenin noted that the risks that remained for the market, including low levels of coffee reserves, limited the decline in quotations.