
今年第二季台北市屋齡30年以上老屋達68.66萬宅,佔住宅總數74.47%,但危老重建核准案僅0.009%,專家指出都更條例修正、土地稀缺及建商觀望等因素導致老屋新陳代謝速度遠落後於老屋增加速度。
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台北市因都市化發展導致素地短缺,房價居高不下,老屋比例逐年上升。2012年『文林苑事件』促使都更條例大幅修法,但重建進度仍受土地、成本及政策因素影響。
今年第二季台北市屋齡30年以上老屋已達68.66萬宅。(記者徐義平攝)
〔記者徐義平/台北報導〕今年第二季台北市屋齡30年以上老屋已達68.66萬宅、占整體房屋稅籍住宅數量比重約74.47%,也就是說台北市平均每1.34宅就有1宅是30年以上老屋,房產業者指出,攤開近5年台北市核准危老案,截至今年7月底為止,合計668案,僅老屋的0.009%,尤其今年前7月核准案僅15案,似乎與北市老屋增速有明顯落差,就是像上演老屋「急速」增加,重建案卻「龜速」前進。
高力國際不動產業主代表服務部董事黃舒衛表示,30多年來台北市快速都市化的結果,面臨素地短缺,引發仕紳化、高房價現象,尤其2012年的「文林苑事件」引發「都更條例」大幅度修法,還有軌道經濟把居住需求帶往新北市、桃園市,在在都減緩台北市老屋新陳代謝的速度。
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根據內政部不動產資訊平台最新發布,今年第二季全國房屋稅籍住宅總數約955.03萬宅,其中30年以上老屋數量約588.43萬宅、占比約61.61%,而台北市房屋稅籍住宅數量約92.2萬宅、占全國比重不到10%、約9.65%,但台北市屋齡30年以上的房屋稅籍住宅數量則有68.66萬宅、占全國30年以上房屋稅籍住宅數量比重約11.67%。
若進一步觀察台北市老屋分布,已逾40年、但在50年以內的老屋數量最多、約33.39萬宅、占比約36.22%,而逾50年以上老屋數量約21.57萬宅、占比約23.39%,為各屋齡區間數量與占比第二高,房產業者擔心,若台北市老屋重建速度無法打開,預期10年內,台北市「半百」老屋很大機率超過50萬宅,幾乎不到兩宅就有1宅是「半百」老屋。
北市逾40年老屋最多
馨傳不動產智庫執行長何世昌認為,因「危老重建條例」修正草案才出爐,預期等到立院修法三讀,甚至新制實施前將出現一段政策等待期,加上現行營造費用居高不下,還有房市景氣影響到未來房價與買氣,諸多因素導致建商對於重建案放緩整合腳步,甚至轉為觀望或再評估,預期今年全年危老核定案件數恐一落千丈。
信義房屋不動產企研室專案經理曾敬德表示,新房子供給主要在重劃區比較多的城市,台北看來飽和只能透過老城翻新方式更新,但房價水準高,推案也朝向兩極化發展,一般民眾想要買個標準三房新成屋,不是價格高就是缺乏類似供給。
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台北市危老重建核准案件數今年全年將大幅減少
Likely · Within months

Affected by the high housing prices in Shuangtai City, home buyers with limited budgets have expanded to Taoyuan and surrounding counties and cities in New Taipei City to purchase properties. Statistics from Yongqing Real Estate Group show that among the top five administrative districts in North Taoyuan with the highest population growth in the past year, Taoyuan City's Grand Park has the highest growth rate of 2.9%, followed by New Taipei City's Tamsui District at about 1.7%, and Taoyuan City's Guanyin District and Guishan District tied for third. Industry players pointed out that the park has benefited from the development of Taoyuan Airport City and transportation construction. The average total price of Guanyin District is about 7.63 million, which has the advantage of being close to the people. Guishan District is close to the two north and has industrial and transportation advantages. The housing prices in Tamsui District are even lower than some Taoyuan areas. Linkou District has a population growth driven by the airport rapid transit and commercial development.

Earthquakes are frequent in Taiwan, and Taichung's super-high-rise residential and large-scale construction projects are advancing. Builders have invested in seismic design, structural external audits, and construction quality, and introduced high-strength steel bars, earthquake-control equipment, and high-toughness structural construction methods. Residential safety considerations have extended from compliance with regulations to structural design, material selection, and construction management.

There are 5.8843 million houses in the country that are over 30 years old, and only 679,000 new houses have been built in the past five years. The ratio of old houses to new houses is as high as 8.67:1. Experts point out that the main reasons are the huge stock of old houses, slow demolition and reconstruction, and lack of renovation concepts. The proportion of new houses in Taoyuan City is as high as 11%, while in Taipei City it is only 3.56%.

Wufeng has attracted attention due to the MRT Orange Line planning. Regional housing prices have increased by 12.57% in the past three years. It has benefited from academic medical resources and forest green spaces such as Chaoyang University of Science and Technology, Asia University and affiliated hospitals. It has recently launched diversified construction projects such as elevator villas and first-time purchase buildings. Projects such as Ruiyu Kuanren have completed 30 transactions. However, the MRT Orange Line is still in the planning stage and the opening time has not yet been determined. Regional development still needs to observe actual transactions and price changes.

Nantou County’s first phase of youth housing is planned for 45 units, and currently 20 units are unsold. County Councilor Shen Suzheng pointed out in the parliamentary inquiry that the county government should first clarify the reasons for the slow sales, review the profile and affordability of home buyers, and then promote the second phase of construction to ensure that the policy truly helps young people stay in their hometowns.

Multiple departments in Beijing jointly issued the "Implementation Opinions on the City's Implementation of the "Notice on Improving the Commercial Housing Sales System", which will be implemented on September 24, 2026. It comprehensively strengthens pre-sale management, orderly implements existing home sales, and implements the sponsoring bank system. It aims to improve the safety of home purchases and steadily promote the reform of the commercial housing sales system.