
Support for Jiang Wanan, who is seeking re-election, has declined, while challenger Shen Boyang has closed to 20 percentage points in four months, making the election increasingly fierce.
AI-generated summary
This poll was conducted by the TVBS Public Opinion Research Center in October 2015 and targeted citizens aged 20 and above in Taipei City.
TVBS released the latest Taipei mayoral election poll today (8th). Current mayor Chiang Wanan, who is seeking re-election, has 49% support, while Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang has 41%. The latter has chased 20 percentage points in just 4 months, with a gap of only single digits, triggering heated discussions among the outside world. In response, Jiang Wanan and Shen Boyang both responded in the evening. The former said that he views all polling data with an open mind, while the latter modestly said that the final result is the most important.
The latest Taipei mayor poll released by the TVBS Poll Center today shows that Chiang Wanan’s support is 49% and Shen Boyang’s 41%. Compared with the last poll (late May), the gap between Chiang Wanan (58%) and Shen Boyang (30%) has narrowed from 28 percentage points to 8 percentage points. Regarding voters' preferences, Jiang Wanan's favorability rating was 49%, down 8 percentage points from the previous poll (57%); Shen Boyang's was 44%, up 13 percentage points from the previous poll (31%).
According to comprehensive media reports, Chen Bohan, spokesman for Chiang Wanan's campaign office, said that they will view all poll numbers with an open mind. They believe that Taipei citizens have strong expectations for the future of Taipei City, and they must respond seriously. Therefore, they have proposed the construction of Taipei AI Park and the relocation of Songshan Airport in order to open up Taipei's "two lines of appointment and governorship."
Shen Boyang said that as the election gets closer, there will be more similar polls in the near future. He is a challenger. It is good news that the polls are catching up. But no matter how close the pursuit is, even if the gap is only 1% or 2%, he will still lose. The most important thing is to achieve a reversal on November 28. Shen Boyang also said that he will be more active in different programs to persuade different audiences.
This poll was conducted by the TVBS Public Opinion Survey Center on October 3, 2015, and from 18:30 to 22:00 in the evenings of October 5 to 7. A total of 1,284 Taipei citizens over the age of 20 were contacted. Among them, 164 refused to be interviewed, with a refusal rate of 12.8%. Finally, 1,120 valid samples were successfully interviewed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was within ±2.9 percentage points. The sampling method adopts random sampling with the last four digits of local telephone numbers and telephone interviews. All data are statistically weighted according to maternal gender, age, region, education level and other variables. The source of funding for the investigation is TVBS.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Shen Boyang will be more actively involved in the program to win support from voters.
Likely · Within weeks

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