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Back外資賣壓仍重!新台幣續探波段新低 中午暫收32.627元
外資賣壓仍重!新台幣續探波段新低 中午暫收32.627元
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

外資賣壓仍重!新台幣續探波段新低 中午暫收32.627元

Quick Look

新台幣兌美元匯率早盤持續走低,最低觸及32.627元、重貶1.82角,再創波段新低,中午暫收32.616元。外資持續賣超台股科技股,資金大舉匯出,新台幣連續7個交易日走貶,累計貶幅超過2%。央行昨日發布聲明穩定市場信心,但匯出壓力尚未緩解。市場擔憂中東局勢緊張、國際油價高檔及聯準會維持高利率更久,使高估值科技股承壓。匯銀人士指出,新台幣何時止貶關鍵在外資,隨著匯價走低,出口商拋匯意願可望提高,央行適時進場調節有助減緩貶勢。

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Why It Matters

新台幣近期受到外資持續調節科技股、賣超後資金大舉匯出影響,已連續7個交易日走貶,累計貶幅超過2%。央行昨日盤中罕見發布聲明,穩定市場信心。

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外資賣壓仍重!新台幣續探波段新低 中午暫收32.627元(記者陳梅英攝)

〔記者陳梅英/台北報導〕儘管昨日美股費城半導體指數跌深反彈,終結連8黑,台股今日早盤一度翻紅,但市場對於AI產業疑慮仍在、外資賣壓尚未消除,新台幣兌美元匯率早盤持續開低走低,最低觸及32.627元、重貶1.82角,再創波段新低,中午暫時收在32.616元、貶值1.71角,台北外匯經紀公司成交量仍達16.72億美元。

新台幣近期受到外資持續調節科技股、賣超後資金大舉匯出影響,已連續7個交易日走貶,累計貶幅超過2%。中央銀行昨日盤中罕見發布聲明,穩定市場信心,但今日新台幣仍持續承壓,顯示外資匯出壓力尚未緩解。

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匯銀人士分析,中東局勢持續緊張、國際油價維持高檔,但市場先前已反映油價上漲帶來的通膨壓力,美元指數未進一步走強。不過,油價居高不下,通膨疑慮難消,市場擔憂聯準會維持高利率更久,使高估值科技股持續承壓。

另一方面,AI產業大舉投資資料中心及相關基礎建設,市場也開始質疑龐大資本支出能否帶來相應報酬,加上高利率推升企業融資成本,使科技股面臨獲利與估值雙重壓力。由於台股科技權值股比重高,尤其半導體及AI相關個股漲幅已大,成為外資獲利了結及調節持股的主要對象。

匯銀人士認為,新台幣何時能止貶,關鍵仍在外資。若外資持續賣超台股,資金匯出需求未減,新台幣仍有進一步走貶壓力。不過,隨著匯價走低,出口商拋匯意願可望提高,加上央行適時進場調節,有助於減緩貶勢。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 新台幣匯率將在短期內持續承壓,但跌幅可能有限

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 若外資持續賣超台股,新台幣仍有進一步走貶壓力

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 外資何時會減少賣超台股?
  • 央行將採取什麼具體措施來穩定匯率?
  • 出口商拋匯意願提高能否完全抵消外資匯出壓力?

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