According to evidence-based polling commissioned by "Newtalk News", the latest Hsinchu mayoral election survey was conducted. According to the survey results, Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hongan's approval rating is 38.1%, followed by DPP Hsinchu Mayor candidate Zhuang Jingcheng with 36.1%. The gap between the two parties is only 2 percentage points, which is within the range of sampling error, indicating that the Hsinchu mayoral election is showing five waves. However, there are still 23.9% of respondents who have not yet decided on a candidate to support.
In response to this poll, Zhuang Jingcheng said that the poll gap is within the margin of error, and representatives will definitely have a chance to give it a try. There are only 20 days left before the vote. He will continue to propose policies, stand at intersections, and sweep the streets in a convoy, imploring supporters to help canvass for votes, and calling on everyone to "come out and vote, and you will win." Gao Hongan’s camp has yet to respond.
Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hong'an and Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan are also running for re-election this year. Gao Hong'an, who is seeking re-election as a non-party member, is supported by the Kuomintang and the People's Party and is considered a "Blue and White Cooperation" indicator county. Even though Gao Hong'an was suspended and reinstated after his assistant was involved in corruption, there are still two pending lawsuits, and Gao Hong'an is still pending. During An's four years in power, Hsinchu City's policy satisfaction has been at the bottom of many magazine polls year after year. However, due to the "Blue and White" and the fact that Hsinchu City is a difficult constituency for the green camp, Gao Hong'an is seeking re-election. There is almost no suspense about the outside world's unanimous optimism, especially when Gao Hong'an was far ahead of his opponents in many polls a few months ago.
However, as the "ocean current" of Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang spreads, and Zhuang Jingcheng and Shen Boyang have many "similarities", the popularity of Zhuang Jingcheng, who uses the slogan of a happy new process, has gradually increased. Now the latest polls show a seesaw of five to five waves.
Zhuke Mama Douge wrote that according to the latest poll, the gap between Gao Hongan and Zhuang Jingcheng is only 2% (38.1% vs 36.1%), which is completely within the margin of error. In addition, among the people who will definitely vote: Zhuang Jingcheng directly reversed the "leading 3.3%"! People with high voting intention support Zhuang Jingcheng. On the dislike ceiling: Gao Hongan’s disapproval level soared to 34.2%, while Zhuang Jingcheng’s level was only 10.9%. Among female voters: Zhuang Jingcheng’s 36.4% overtook Gao Hongan’s 32.2%. Age groups: 30 to 39 years old, and those over 50 years old are all led by Zhuang Jingcheng, but 23.9% are still undecided.
This poll was conducted by evidence-based polling commissioned by "Newtalk News", and the source of survey funding was Pioneer Media Social Enterprise Co., Ltd. The moderator of the poll is Dr. Su Kongzhi, director of evidence-based polling research. The survey was conducted from October 28 to 29. People registered in Hsinchu City and over the age of 20 were interviewed, and a total of 1,068 valid samples were obtained. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was plus or minus 3 percentage points. The survey adopts the telephone interview method, using the computer-assisted telephone survey system (CATI system). The computer dials directly. The interviewer conducts the interview according to the questions displayed on the computer screen and directly checks the respondent's answer. The weighting method is based on gender, age, and administrative region.
