
最新民調顯示新竹市長選情陷入膠著,雙方差距僅2個百分點,已進入抽樣誤差範圍。
《Newtalk新聞》委託民調顯示,新竹市長高虹安支持度38.1%,民進黨候選人莊競程36.1%,差距僅2%。莊競程在特定族群如女性及30-39歲選民中領先,且在一定會投票的選民中反超高虹安,選情進入五五波拉鋸。
AI-generated summary
高虹安目前面臨助理費涉貪官司,且其主政期間新竹市施政滿意度在多項民調中表現不佳。此次選舉被視為藍白合指標。
依據《Newtalk新聞》委託循證民調進行最新新竹市長選情調查。調查結果,新竹市長高虹安支持度為38.1%,民進黨新竹市長候選人莊競程則以36.1%緊追在後,雙方差距僅2個百分點,已落在抽樣誤差範圍內,顯示新竹市長選情呈現五五波。但仍有23.9%的受訪者尚未決定支持人選。
針對這份民調,莊競程表示,民調差距落在誤差範圍內,代表絕對有機會一搏,距投票只剩20幾天,他會持續提政策、站路口、車隊掃街,懇請支持者幫忙拉票,號召大家「出來投就會贏」。高虹安陣營尚無回應。
新竹市長高虹安與台北市長蔣萬安今年同樣爭取連任,以無黨籍拚連任的高虹安獲國民黨及民眾黨支持,被認為是「藍白合」指標縣市,即使高虹安歷經助理費涉貪停職又復職,至今仍有2個官司未定讞,且高虹安主政的4年,新竹市的施政滿意度在多個雜誌的民調連年墊底吊車尾,但因「藍白合」及竹市屬綠營艱困選區,高虹安尋求連任,外界幾乎毫無懸念一致看好,尤其高虹安幾個月前在多個民調都遙遙領先對手。
但隨著台北市長候選人沈伯洋的「洋流」外溢,加上莊競程與沈伯洋有多個「相同」之處,打著幸福新製程口號的莊競程的知名度逐漸提升,如今最新民調呈現五五波的拉鋸。
竹科媽媽豆哥發文提到,依據最新民調,高虹安與莊競程的差距只2%(38.1% vs 36.1%),完全在誤差範圍內。此外在一定會去投票族群中:莊競程直接逆轉「領先 3.3%」!投票意願高的人支持莊競程。在討厭度天花板:高虹安不欣賞度飆到 34.2%,莊競程只有10.9%。在女性選民:莊競程以36.4%超車高虹安的32.2%。年齡層:30~39歲、50歲以上全都是莊競程領先,但現在還有23.9%未決定。
本次民調由《Newtalk新聞》委託循證民調執行,調查經費來源為先驅媒體社會企業股份有限公司。民調主持人為循證民調研究總監蘇孔志博士。調查於10月28日至29日進行,訪問設籍新竹市且年滿20歲的民眾,共取得1068份有效樣本,在95%信心水準下,抽樣誤差為正負3個百分點。調查採電話訪問調查法,使用電腦輔助電話調查系統(CATI系統),由電腦直接撥號,訪員依據電腦螢幕上顯示的問項進行訪問,並直接勾選受訪者的答案。加權方式依性別、年齡、行政區進行加權。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
莊競程將持續進行政策宣傳、站路口及車隊掃街。
Very likely · Within weeks

Hong Kong BNO visa holders moving to the UK will be exempt from plans to double the settlement qualifying period to 10 years, but will still face stricter English-language and criminality requirements alongside existing conditions such as five years of continuous residence and the Life in the UK test.

Kong Jiangping, director of the Linguistics Laboratory of Peking University, said in an exclusive interview with China News Service that the popularization of Mandarin is not inconsistent with the protection of national languages. Through field surveys and artificial intelligence large model technology, China is realizing the coexistence of the popularization of the national common language and the inheritance of national languages.

U.S. President Trump attended an event at the Lincoln Memorial in Washington, D.C. In his last public appearance before the election, in addition to talking about the monument renovation project, he also criticized the Democratic candidates as extremely dangerous and called on voters to make the right choice in the midterm elections to maintain a strong Congress.

Books imported from Taiwan by the independent bookstore "Migratory Bird" were seized by Hong Kong Customs. The Customs cited the implementation details of Article 43 of the "Hong Kong National Security Law" and claimed that the books had "inciting intent." The bookstore expressed confusion and asked for clarification. Customs responded that it would not comment on individual cases and emphasized that it would be handled in accordance with the law.

Opposition party leaders met in Herzliya to coordinate strategy following an inconclusive election, aiming to form a government quickly and avoid further electoral cycles.

The United States has officially voted on the 2026 midterm elections, and Trump regards this election as a vote of confidence in his governance. The election focuses on the battle for control of Congress, hidden voter movements, the involvement of billionaire funds, the battle over the Democratic Party line, and the historic diversity breakthrough in the gubernatorial election.