
The Taipei Cross-Strait Research Association released a poll on the Taichung mayoral election. DPP candidate He Xinchun received 41.1% support, significantly overtaking KMT candidate Jiang Qichen.
AI-generated summary
The Taipei Cross-Strait Research Association commissioned Beacon Market Research Company to conduct a poll on the Taichung mayoral election. The survey period was from October 28 to October 30.
With 25 days remaining in the nine-in-one election, the Taipei Cross-Strait Research Association released a poll on the Taichung mayoral election today. DPP candidate He Xinchun received 41.1% support, significantly overtaking KMT candidate Jiang Qichen. The gap between the two was 10.7%; He Xinchun Overtaking his opponent in the polls for the first time, supporters were excited. A large number of "Xin Chun followers" gathered at He Xinchun's headquarters during the day. In addition to asking for ribbons, they also emphasized that they would attract more people to vote for He Xinchun on November 28, the voting day, "Mayor for Xin, Taichung Innovation."
According to a poll released by the Trustees Association, He Xinchun's support is 41.1% and Jiang Qichen's 30.4%, a difference of 10.7 percentage points; He Xinchun's suitability is 50.6%, which is also 6.8 percentage points ahead of Jiang Qichen's 43.8%. However, in terms of election optimism, Jiang Qichen still beats He Xinchun with 39.7%, which is 25.4%.
This poll is the first time that He Xinchun has overtaken Jiang Qichen since she started running. He Xinchun said that she always refers to and respects polls from all parties, but this poll reflects the changes in the hearts of the people of Taichung and hopes for changes in the city.
After the announcement of the poll, there was a "poll effect" for President He Xinchun. A large number of "Xinchao people" came to the headquarters to feel the joyful atmosphere. Some came specifically to ask for Xinchao streamers. Even though it was a working day, the headquarters was full of people.
Staff at the headquarters pointed out that before the polls were released, people usually came to get streamers, but maybe people came here from time to time. Today, it was obvious that there were a large number of supporters, especially at noon. Many office workers came here specially during the free time. In addition to saying that they would come to help He Xinchun, they also asked for Xinchao streamers, saying that they wanted to attract more votes, so that Taichung could "change the mayor and innovate Taichung."
This poll was entrusted by Taipei Cross-Strait Research Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted telephone interviews. It was conducted from October 28 to October 30. The survey targets were people registered in Taichung City and over the age of 20. 1,077 people were successfully interviewed. The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% was ±3.0%. Sample representativeness and weighting: The "raking ratio estimation" method was adopted for the dual-structure combined sample and mobile phone sub-sample. The parent parameters were based on the gender, administrative district of household registration, age and education level of the people in December 2025 announced by the Taichung City Government in September 2026. In this case, after the representativeness test and weighting of the combined sample characteristics and mobile phone sub-sample characteristics, the sample and the parent structure are consistent, so the overall sample can be regarded as representative. The source of funding is the Taipei Cross-Strait Research Association.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Candidates will continue to canvass votes before the election
Very likely · Within weeks

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