
信民協會與戴立安公布最新民調,黃世杰在「會去投票」族群中反超張善政
信民協會與民調專家戴立安公布桃園市長選情最新民調,國民黨候選人張善政支持度36.9%,微幅領先民進黨候選人黃世杰的32.8%,雙方僅差距4.1個百分點。財經網紅胡采蘋指出,黃世杰從9月初落後26%追趕至僅落後4%,選情進入黃金交叉階段。在「會去投票」的關鍵受訪族群中,黃世杰以42.7%微幅超前張善政的41.4%。
AI-generated summary
桃園市長選舉即將於11月28日舉行,現任市長張善政尋求連任,民進黨候選人黃世杰挑戰。信民協會委託戴立安負責問卷設計與分析,由畢肯市場研究公司執行電訪,調查對象為設籍桃園市且年滿20歲之民眾,從11月4日進行至11月6日,成功完訪1074人,合併樣本在信賴水準95%時的抽樣誤差最大值為±3.0%。
民進黨桃園市長候選人黃世杰(中)。(資料照)
信民協會與民調專家戴立安昨(10日)公布桃園市長選情最新民調,尋求連任的國民黨桃園市長候選人張善政支持度36.9%,微幅領先民進黨候選人黃世杰的32.8%,雙方僅差距4.1個百分點,財經網紅胡采蘋指出,從9月初落後26%一路追趕,歷經陳致中公布民調落後22%、10月上旬落後14%與下旬非綠陣營民調的8%,如今已穩定爬升至僅落後4%,整體選情正式迎來黃金交叉階段,期盼能助攻民進黨在六都選戰達成全勝目標。
胡采蘋今於臉書粉專「Emmy追劇時間」援引信民協會最新民調數據。她解釋,張善政以36.9%支持度暫時領先黃世杰的32.8%,然而在「會去投票」的關鍵受訪族群中,黃世杰反倒以42.7%微幅超前張善政的41.4%。
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此外,尤其可喜的部分,就是所謂的G4、G5、G6中間選民,G4就是兩人都不錯,但你問他要投誰,41.5%支持黃世杰,18.5%支持張善政。G5是未明確表態誰比較適合當市長,但是你問他要投誰,15.4%要投黃世杰,9.7%要投張善政。
胡采蘋笑說,「最精彩的來了,自視甚高、誰都不比我強的G6組,搭啦!19.3%支持黃世杰,0.0%支持張善政!天哪天哪天哪,自視甚高我最棒的人類,竟然全面倒向企鵝阿爸,救命!這到底發生了什麼事情!真的是0.0%支持張善政,完全KO。」
胡采蘋強調,民調中贊成「換成民進黨做做看」達33.8%,高於「繼續給國民黨做市長」的31%,顯示淺藍區已有鬆動跡象。她最後高呼,「請小企鵝們繼續加油,這完全就是你們的成功,是你們讓黃世杰走到這裡,相信我,11/28桃園會贏,翻轉桃園,差你一票!桃園市長唯一支持為你打擊創意私房、打擊犯罪,誓言消滅幽靈公車的超級學霸黃世杰!」
本項民調由信民協會委託戴立安先生負責問卷設計與分析、畢肯市場研究公司執行電訪,調查對象為設籍桃園市且年滿20歲之民眾,從11月4日進行至11月6日,成功完訪1074人(住宅電話751人、行動電話323人),合併樣本在信賴水準95%時的抽樣誤差最大值為±3.0%。
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