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Back雷達遭美軍炸毀換新招! 伊朗改派小船48小時狂襲5商船
雷達遭美軍炸毀換新招! 伊朗改派小船48小時狂襲5商船
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自由时报2 hours agoDefense2 min readChinaView translation

雷達遭美軍炸毀換新招! 伊朗改派小船48小時狂襲5商船

Quick Look

美軍空襲重創伊朗雷達與海軍後,伊朗革命衛隊改派無武裝人員乘坐小船在霍爾木茲海峽辨識商船及美軍艦艇,充當海上觀測哨。過去48小時內海峽周邊至少發生5起涉及油輪及商船的事件,包括無人機攻擊。伊朗高層警告可能完全封鎖海峽,以阻止美國壓低全球油價。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美軍對伊朗進行空襲後,伊朗雷達和海軍能力受到重創,導致其無法使用傳統方式監控霍爾木茲海峽航運。伊朗革命衛隊因而改用小船上的無武裝觀測人員來辨識商船和軍艦。

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伊朗班達阿巴斯(Bandar Abbas)附近的荷姆茲海峽可見多艘船隻航行。伊朗改以小船上的無武裝觀測人員辨識商船與美軍艦艇,荷姆茲海峽航運安全再受關注。(路透)

美軍空襲重創伊朗雷達能力與海軍戰力後,伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊(IRGC)改派無武裝人員搭乘小船,在荷姆茲海峽辨識商船及美軍艦艇,充當海上觀測哨。路透14日報導,過去48小時內,海峽周邊至少發生5起涉及油輪及其他商船的事件,包括無人機攻擊。

美軍一名不具名官員向路透表示,伊朗革命衛隊在雷達能力遭到重創後,開始利用小船上的觀測人員辨識潛在目標,再將資訊通報後方。這類船隻包括波斯灣常見的單桅木船(dhow),讓伊朗在不必冒險動用剩餘高速巡邏艇的情況下,仍能監視航道上的船隻。

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這名官員透露,上週美軍發現一艘伊朗木船上的觀測人員正向革命衛隊通報目標。美軍部隊隨後接近該船,要求船上人員棄船,再將木船摧毀。官員表示,事件沒有造成人員傷亡。路透指出,這是此前未曾公開的交火事件。

不過,伊朗仍未能阻止石油出口增加。這名美軍官員表示,伊朗不願冒險動用剩餘的高速巡邏艇,加上美軍先前的空襲重創其海軍,使伊朗難以阻止更多石油經荷姆茲海峽運出。

海事安全資料則顯示,商船面臨的威脅仍在升高。路透根據海事安全業者資料及英國海事貿易行動辦公室(UKMTO)通報指出,過去48小時內,荷姆茲海峽周邊至少發生5起涉及油輪及其他商船的事件,包含無人機攻擊;這個頻率約與10月3日至5日相當。相關資料也顯示,近期船隻遇襲與受騷擾的範圍,可能已從海峽延伸至阿曼灣,以及卡達、阿拉伯聯合大公國近海。

商船遇襲升溫 伊朗揚言封鎖海峽

兩名伊朗高層官員向路透表示,調整攻擊方式的決策已由伊朗最高決策層拍板,目的是阻止美國及其盟友壓低全球油價。其中一名官員形容這是一場「西洋棋局」,並警告,即使船隻位於荷姆茲海峽以外,也可能遭到攻擊。兩人並稱,伊朗正朝限制違規船隻通行的方向推進,其中一人聲稱,海峽不久後可能面臨「完全封鎖」。

荷姆茲海峽在戰前承載全球約五分之一的石油與液化天然氣貿易。美伊對峙已嚴重限制海峽航運,增加全球能源市場面臨的供應風險。五角大廈與伊朗外交部未立即回應路透社的置評請求。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 霍爾木茲海峽將出現更多針對商船的騷擾或攻擊事件

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 全球油價將因霍爾木茲海峽緊張局勢而上漲

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 伊朗是否真的具備完全封鎖霍爾木茲海峽的軍事能力?
  • 美國及其盟友將如何應對伊朗的海上威脅?
  • 這些事件是否會導致霍爾木茲海峽的保險費用進一步上升?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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