Su Ziyun said that 56% of China's senior generals have indeed "disappeared", which objectively reduces actual combat and command and control capabilities, but Taiwan must not take it lightly; because Xi Jinping has turned the Military Commission into a "one-man military commission", which lacks military experience and has no checks and balances from other senior generals, but instead increases the risk of policy misjudgments and military risks. (AP)
The "Fifth Plenary Session" of the CCP Central Committee has just concluded. From yesterday (2) to (3), the People's Liberation Army has been detected by the Chinese military and has dispatched 49 sorties and 6 ships in a single day to disrupt Taiwan. In response to scholars' analysis that the high-ranking generals of the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China were almost completely purged, and that the Communist Army was showing off its power just to "win face." Su Ziyun, director of the Institute of National Defense Strategy and Resources of the National Defense Academy, analyzed in an interview that 56% of China's high-ranking generals have indeed "disappeared," which objectively reduces actual combat and command and control capabilities. , but Taiwan must not take it lightly; because Xi Jinping has turned the Military Commission into a "one-man military commission." Without military experience and no other high-level generals to check and balance, it has instead increased the risk of policy misjudgment and military aggression. The only way for Taiwan to strengthen its own defense capabilities such as "iron windows and door locks" is the most reliable guarantee.
Su Ziyun pointed out that according to observations, up to 56% of senior generals of the Communist Army have "disappeared." This will indeed affect China's ability to command military operations, but Taiwan still cannot take it lightly. He analyzed that Xi Jinping has turned the Central Military Commission into a "one-person Military Commission" through the "Chairman of the Military Commission Responsibility System". In the absence of other senior generals, this will have two major impacts: first, the command and control capabilities of the Communist Army may be damaged; second, the possibility of Xi Jinping's personal misjudgment and taking military risks cannot be ruled out. Therefore, Taiwan must still focus on strengthening self-defense.
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Su Ziyun further revealed that Xi Jinping has actually been laying out the "Chairman of the Military Commission Responsibility System" for a long time, and the outside world has hardly noticed that in the national security white paper released by China in June 2025, it was clearly mentioned that the establishment of a "Chairman of the Military Commission Responsibility System" will be established; subsequently, in October 2025, the People's It is even rarer for the Daily and the People's Liberation Army Daily to engage in a war of words. The People's Daily advocates the implementation of the "responsibility system of the Chairman of the Military Commission," while the People's Liberation Army Daily insists on "democratic centralism." This confrontation between lines and power is the key reason why Zhang Youxia, the vice chairman of the Military Commission, "disappeared" in January 2026.
To put it simply, Xi Jinping is becoming more and more centralized, but because he has no military experience, the risk of misjudgment and aggressive advancement will become higher. Su Ziyun emphasized to reporters that the decline in the Communist Army's actual combat capabilities and the possibility of misjudgment of Xi Jinping's policies are both objective descriptions of phenomena. However, he said that for Taiwan, what will become of Xi Jinping and the top leadership of the Chinese Communist Party is not something we can control. The only thing we can control is to strengthen our "iron windows and door locks" and continue to improve our national defense and self-defense capabilities. This is the core key to Taiwan's face of changes.
