
今年第29號颱風「薔琵」維持強颱強度,目前位於鵝鑾鼻東南東方1800公里海域,以每小時24公里速度向西北西移動,氣象署預測其路徑持續北修,台灣北北基桃宜花六縣市120小時內暴風侵襲機率均超過50%,其中基隆縣和宜蘭縣最高達62%。
AI-generated summary
今年第29號颱風「薔琵」生成後持續增強,目前維持強颱等級,中心氣壓910百帕,七級風平均暴風半徑250公里。
強颱「薔琵」來勢洶洶。(圖擷取自中央氣象署)
今年第29號颱風「薔琵」來勢洶洶,颱風眼清晰可見,不過氣象署預測路徑持續北修,台灣各主要城市及離島最新120小時颱風暴風侵襲機率持續增加,其中最高的是基隆縣和宜蘭縣的62%。
「薔琵」颱風目前強度仍維持強颱等級,今日凌晨2點的中心位置在鵝鑾鼻東南東方1800公里海域,以每小時24公里速度,向西北西移動,中心氣壓910百帕,七級風平均暴風半徑250公里。
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氣象署最新報告指出,台灣各主要城市及離島最新120小時颱風暴風侵襲機率持續增加,北北基桃宜花6縣市都在50%以上,其中侵襲機率最高的是基隆縣和宜蘭縣的62%,新竹以南與台東地區則是持續下修。
台灣各主要城市及離島最新120小時颱風暴風侵襲機率持續增加。(圖擷取自中央氣象署)
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台灣北北基桃宜花六縣市將面臨暴風侵襲
Likely · Within days
The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that cold air will be more frequent in the next ten days. The temperature in most parts of the north will be lower than the same period of the year. The temperature in northern Xinjiang, western Gansu, Inner Mongolia and other places will be about 3℃ lower. Today and tomorrow, most areas in the central and eastern regions will have a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, and some areas in western North China and Northeast China will have a drop of more than 8°C. Most areas north of the Yangtze River will be accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 6, with gusts of magnitude 7 to 9. In terms of precipitation, there were heavy rains or torrential rains in Jianghuai, Jianghan and other places in the past day, and the rainfall will gradually weaken today and tomorrow. However, there are moderate to heavy rains in parts of the eastern part of Southwest China and northern Jiangnan, and heavy rains in parts of southwestern Guizhou and eastern Yunnan. There is obvious rain and snow in Northeast China, eastern Inner Mongolia and other places, and there is heavy snow in parts of southeastern Heilongjiang and eastern Jilin. It is expected that from the 21st to the 24th, most of Xinjiang will experience strong winds and cooling weather. There will be obvious rain and snow in the northern region. Some high-altitude mountainous areas will have blizzards to heavy snowstorms, and local heavy snowstorms. Typhoon "Qiangpi" was located on the northwest Pacific Ocean at 05:00 on the morning of the 20th, about 1,860 kilometers east-southeast of Taipei City, Taiwan Province. The maximum wind force near the center was above level 17 (62 meters/second, super typhoon level). It is expected to continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 25 to 30 kilometers per hour, gradually approaching the ocean east of Taiwan, with little change in intensity. From the 21st, the wind force in the ocean east of Taiwan, the Taiwan Strait, and the Bashi Strait will gradually increase. At present, its movement path is still highly uncertain. It is necessary to pay close attention to its development dynamics and the subsequent impact of wind and rain on my country's eastern seas and coastal areas.

Lin Deen, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that there are obvious differences in the future path of typhoon Qianbi among the numerical forecast models of various countries: some models predict that the typhoon will turn north near Ishigaki Island or Miyako Island, which will have less impact on Taiwan; other models continue to predict that Qianbi may land in Taiwan. He emphasized that around Thursday (22nd) will be an important observation time point to judge the subsequent path, and described the two paths as "edge ball" and "straight ball duel".
The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a warning that cold air will affect the central and eastern regions of my country from the 20th to the 21st, accompanied by cooling and strong winds; from the 21st to the 24th, there will be continuous rain, snow and strong winds in northern Xinjiang. The local accumulated precipitation is large, and safety management of transportation, tourism, agriculture and animal husbandry needs to be strengthened.

The Central Meteorological Administration pointed out that Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi this year is currently a strong typhoon, and its forecast path continues to move northward. When it is closest to Taiwan from Friday to Saturday, it will gradually move northward and develop towards Japan. It will be cloudy to sunny across Taiwan, with scattered rainfall in some areas. The temperature and air quality conditions are as stated in the report.

On the evening of the 19th, a venomous snake umbrella section about 1.3 meters long appeared on the side road of Lufeng Elementary School in Tianwei Township, Changhua County. After being frightened, it crawled through the fence and entered the campus. A citizen named Lin witnessed the incident and took a video to post on Facebook to remind nearby residents and students to be vigilant and avoid being bitten by venomous snakes. Umbrella snakes are common and highly venomous snakes in Taiwan. They are active at night and have a gentle temperament. They often choose to escape when disturbed.

The strong typhoon Qiangpi is about 2,030 kilometers away from Taiwan and is expected to have the most severe impact on Taiwan from Friday to Saturday. The northeast monsoon will strengthen from Wednesday and it will turn rainy and cooler in the northern and eastern half. Coinciding with the National Liberation Day holiday, the Meteorological Administration reminds the public to prepare for typhoons in advance and pay attention to long waves and severe weather changes.