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Back黃仁勳去職恐衝擊台灣科技股!學者示警:元氣恐一段時間才能恢復
黃仁勳去職恐衝擊台灣科技股!學者示警:元氣恐一段時間才能恢復
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自由时报21 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

黃仁勳去職恐衝擊台灣科技股!學者示警:元氣恐一段時間才能恢復

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輝達創辦人黃仁勳請辭執行長,經濟學家吳嘉隆分析指,美國情報單位舉報黃樂為中方間諜,共和黨可能以婚內出軌定性事件進行損害控管,台灣科技股本益比將下修,需時恢復,台積電晶片製造業務影響不大,但美中AI博弈將越演越烈。

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Why It Matters

輝達創辦人黃仁勳請辭執行長,引發外界關注輝達總部進駐台北是否受影響。美國中期選舉後民主黨控制參眾兩院,共和黨可能趕在民主黨成為多數黨前處理輝達案。

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〔即時新聞/綜合報導〕輝達創辦人黃仁勳請辭執行長,引發外界關注輝達總部進駐台北是否受影響。對此,總體經濟學家吳嘉隆表示,台灣的科技股還是會有影響,主要就是黃仁勳帶來的市場樂觀情緒現在收斂了,所以本益比會下修,需要一段時間才會恢復元氣。

吳嘉隆在臉書PO文表示,美國期中選舉結果出來,民主黨拿下參眾兩院的控制權,這個時候產生一個問題,就是共和黨想要趕在明年1月民主黨成為多數黨以前,自己先來辦輝達這個案子,不要給民主黨機會,整個案子的重點有以下幾個方面,第一個,是美國情報單位出面舉報黃樂是中方的間諜;第二個,美國情報單位跟蹤監控黃樂已經有一年多了,現在因為期中選舉民主黨勝出的原因,必須收網;第三個,川普政府早就接到內部情報的報告,可是將計就計,若無其事,川普繼續邀請黃仁勳出席與習近平的國宴,不打草驚蛇。

吳嘉隆指出,接下來,有以下幾個問題:第一個,黃仁勳知不知道黃樂是間諜?據說川普有問過黃仁勳,黃仁勳說他不知情。第二個,輝達繞過出口管制,間接把高階晶片輸送到中國企業,誰要來承擔責任?美國現在把黃仁勳事件,先定性為婚內出軌,算是個人私德,也算是一種損害控管,就是說要讓輝達繼續成為AI時代的重要公司,但是不希望幫中共遊說的黃仁勳繼續在位,這可能是共和黨這邊的操作方向,用婚外情來掩蓋國家安全問題。

吳嘉隆續指,也就是說,在共和黨內部有鷹派,對中國強硬的鷹派,想把對中國寬鬆的鴿派洗掉,特別是黃仁勳。也就是說,美國在打造一個沒有黃仁勳的輝達!輝達這個AI領導性公司必須撐住,但是黃仁勳這個執行長可以換掉,如果是這樣的話,那麼美國對中國在AI領域接下來還會下重手,雙方的AI博弈可望越演越烈!中國的間諜系統不會只有黃樂,美國會把這些滲透的破口都封住,所以,對中國的AI事業來講,會受到打擊,不能像以前那樣予取予求了。

吳嘉隆分析,對台灣來講,就算一些美國客戶(谷歌,蘋果,微軟,臉書,高通⋯)不再買輝達的晶片,而是自己設計AI晶片,這些晶片的製造還是會下單到台積電這裡,所以這部分的生意影響不大,但是,台灣的科技股還是會有影響,主要就是黃仁勳帶來的市場樂觀情緒現在收斂了,所以本益比會下修,需要一段時間才會恢復元氣。

吳嘉隆直言,還有,台灣這邊也要懂得跟美國配合,要有對抗「紅色滲透」的心理準備,不要幫中國企業洗產地,洗算力,不要讓台灣成為美國眼中的破口。

一手掌握經濟脈動 點我訂閱自由財經Youtube頻道

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美中AI博弈將越演越烈,美國會封住對中國的滲透破口

    Likely · Within months

  • 台灣科技股本益比下修,需要一段時間恢復元氣

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 黃仁勳是否知道黃樂是間諜
  • 輝達繞過出口管制將高階晶片輸送中國企業的責任歸屬
  • 輝達總部進駐台北計畫是否受影響
  • 黃仁勳請辭後誰將接任執行長

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