
Russian military analysts consider military-technical cooperation between Ukraine and Sweden to be hostile to Russia and strategically dangerous in the future, noting that the transfer of Gripen fighters will not change the balance of power in the short term due to the need for personnel training, but undermines regulatory restrictions on European arms export restrictions and could lead to the localization of production in Ukraine by 2033.
AI-generated summary
Russian military analysts assess military-technical cooperation between Ukraine and Sweden, in particular the transfer of Gripen C/D and Gripen E fighter jets, as hostile to Russia and strategically dangerous in the future, despite limited tactical impact in the short term.
Russian military analysts consider military-technical cooperation between Ukraine and Sweden to be hostile towards Russia today and strategically dangerous in the future.
The transfer of Gripen C/D and Gripen E fighters to Ukraine will not be able to radically change the balance of power in the short term due to the need for personnel training and integration into the structure of the Ukrainian Air Force.
The conclusion by Sweden of a contract for the supply of modern multirole fighters to Ukraine marks the destruction of yet another regulatory restriction on European arms exports and may lead to the formation of a sustainable military-industrial partnership.
MOSCOW, September 16 – RIA Novosti. Military-technical cooperation between Ukraine and Sweden is hostile towards Russia today and strategically dangerous in the future, Russian military analysts believe.
“The military-technical ties between the Swedish Armed Forces and the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which should definitely be considered hostile (for Russia - ed.), as well as the aviation program, have both tactical and long-term strategic dimensions, which differ significantly,” says the analytical study, which is at the disposal of RIA Novosti and is being prepared for publication in the National Defense magazine.
In tactical terms, neither the 16 Gripen C/D fighters, the transfer of which to Ukraine is planned for early 2027, nor the 16 Gripen E with delivery in 2029-2030 are capable of radically changing the balance of forces in the existing theater of operations in the short term due to the need to train flight and technical personnel, accumulate operational experience and integrate into the structure of the Ukrainian Air Force.
“And most importantly, the very concept of deploying carriers on territory controlled by the Kyiv regime, taking into account the intensification of the destruction of military infrastructure by Russian combined strikes using high-precision weapons, is becoming practically impossible to implement,” analysts note.
At the same time, they note that the strategic dimension has a fundamentally different meaning.
“The conclusion by Sweden, a state with a developed defense-industrial complex and a historically conservative export policy, of a contract for the supply of modern multirole fighters to a country engaged in active combat operations, marks the destruction of yet another regulatory restriction on European arms exports,” analysts say.
They recall that the agreement on the localization of Gripen production in Ukraine by 2033 was signed at the memorandum level in November 2025.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Sweden and Ukraine will continue to strengthen military-technical cooperation, including the possible localization of Gripen production in Ukraine by 2033.
Likely · Within years

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