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Back油市風向變了!幾個月前還怕「買不到油」如今最大夢魘竟變成供過於求
油市風向變了!幾個月前還怕「買不到油」如今最大夢魘竟變成供過於求
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自由时报23 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

油市風向變了!幾個月前還怕「買不到油」如今最大夢魘竟變成供過於求

市場評估全球石油供應過剩跡象,美國將重心放在封鎖伊朗

Quick Look

國際油價週五走弱,連續第二週下跌。布蘭特原油期貨收每桶95.84美元,上漲2美分;WTI期貨收每桶88.56美元,下跌18美分。本週兩大原油均下跌約2.5%,市場擔憂全球石油供應過剩,美國將重心放在封鎖伊朗,地緣政治風險降低。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

國際油價週五走弱,連續第二週下跌。市場評估全球石油供應過剩跡象日益明顯,美國將重心放在封鎖伊朗,同時加大其他經濟施壓措施。本週布蘭特原油與WTI原油均下跌約2.5%,兩大原油上週分別下跌16%及13%。

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國際油價週五(13日)走弱。(彭博)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕由於市場評估全球石油供應過剩跡象日益明顯,以及華府在這場已持續9個月的戰爭中,將重心放在封鎖伊朗,同時加大其他經濟施壓措施,國際油價週五(13日)走弱,連續第二週下跌。

布蘭特原油期貨收在每桶95.84美元,上漲2美分,漲幅0.02%。

美國紐約西德州中級原油(WTI)期貨則收在每桶88.56美元,下跌18美分,跌幅0.20%。

本週布蘭特原油與WTI原油均下跌約2.5%,兩大原油上週分別下跌16%及13%。

隨著美國與以色列對伊朗發動戰爭所帶來的地緣政治風險降低,加上國際能源總署(IEA)週五發布的報告指出,全球石油供應過剩情況正在加劇,油市正經歷重大轉變。

Price Futures Group資深分析師弗林(Phil Flynn)表示:「很明顯,幾個月前最大的恐懼是擔心石油短缺;如今看來,最大的恐懼已經變成供應過剩。」

本週油價交易波動劇烈,市場先前一度期待美國與伊朗關係緩和,但受伊朗支持的葉門叛軍「青年運動」攻擊沙烏地阿拉伯基礎設施,以及運送原油駛離波斯灣的油輪遭到襲擊,抵銷了相關樂觀情緒。

美國總統川普在社群平台Truth Social發文表示,結束這場戰爭並不需要與伊朗達成協議。

Lipow Oil Associates總裁利波(Andrew Lipow)表示:「油市正陷入兩難,一方面是中東地區石油供應增加,另一方面則是美國與伊朗的談判立場毫無變化,而伊朗仍拒絕讓核武檢查人員進入境內。」

總部位於新德里的研究機構SS WealthStreet創辦人薩奇德瓦(Sugandha Sachdeva)表示,油價疲軟也與美國需求出現放緩跡象有關,原油及燃料庫存增加,顯示消費前景相對低迷。

美國能源資訊署(EIA)週四表示,受成品油需求疲軟及石油進口量大幅增加帶動,美國上週原油及燃料庫存均有所上升。

Open Questions

  • 美國對伊朗的具體封鎖措施將如何實施?
  • IEA與EIA報告中預測的供應過剩程度具體為何?
  • 美國原油及燃料庫存增加的具體數據是多少?

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