
聲量看政治粉專指出,台北市長蔣萬安與民眾黨主席黃國昌將於週四直播,其實反映兩人政治需求互補:蔣萬安爭取民眾黨選票,黃國昌尋求曝光與政治舞台。同時質疑蔣萬安對不同辯論邀請持雙重標準,批評兩人皆回避真正公開辯論,僅選擇有利於自身的平台進行表演。
AI-generated summary
聲量看政治粉專分析台北市長蔣萬安與民眾黨主席黃國昌將於週四進行直播訪問,指出此安排反映兩人政治需求互補,同時質疑蔣萬安對不同辯論邀請持雙重標準。
民眾黨主席黃國昌昨(12)日預告,將於週四(15)日專訪台北市長蔣萬安,消息一出引發外界議論。臉書粉專「聲量看政治」指出,與其說是蔣萬安找黃國昌請益,不如說是兩個政治人物的政治需求剛好互補相配,「聲量看政治」也諷刺,兩個「怯戰神」同台取暖?蔣萬安想要民眾黨的票,黃國昌想要政治舞台,卻都對真正的辯論有那麼多理由!
民眾黨主席黃國昌昨宣布,本週四將與台北市長蔣萬安直播。黃國昌在上王淺秋節目時更談到,是殷瑋主動傳訊息給他,問可不可以上他的節目。
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「聲量看政治」發文表示,「蔣萬安不缺上節目的時間,為什麼增加一場辯論就這麼困難?」這兩天,看到蔣萬安一方面對沈伯洋提出的多場辯論邀請,不斷強調歷屆慣例、行程安排與市政工作;另一方面,卻從黃國昌口中傳出,蔣萬安透過殷瑋,主動詢問能不能登上黃國昌的直播節目。
「聲量看政治」直言,原來,蔣萬安不是沒有時間上節目,其實只是不同的節目,似乎有不同的時間安排。要他接受候選人直接交叉詰問,就得反覆推託討論慣例;要上黃國昌的直播,卻很快敲定週四晚上。
「聲量看政治」質疑,問題來了,同樣都是向台北市民說明政策,為什麼一場市長候選人的公開辯論,需要這麼多理由?更有意思的是,昨天沈伯洋簽署六家媒體聯合辯論同意書後,蔣萬安下午還在堅持一場,不過到了晚上,競選辦公室卻表示願意參與另一場媒體辯論。
「聲量看政治」指出,既然可以協商,先前為何說得如此堅決?這種前後轉變,難免讓人想問,究竟是原則改變了,還是政治壓力改變了?
第二,「一個需要民眾黨的票,一個需要選戰舞台,兩個人的政治需求剛好互補」,「聲量看政治」指出,黃國昌為何脫口蔣萬安找黃國昌?從最近的民調與選戰發展來看,4年前支持黃珊珊的選民,或已成為這場選舉值得關注的一群人。蔣萬安需要的不只是國民黨基本盤,更希望爭取民眾黨支持者。這時候,登上黃國昌節目,政治意義恐怕不只是談市政願景而已。更何況,黃國昌不是傳統媒體人,他的自媒體整天都在自我吹捧而已。
至於黃國昌,「聲量看政治」認為,他也有自己的盤算。身為民眾黨主席,本來應該要有的政治舞台,被他自己一點一滴地敗掉了,而如今,台北市長選戰的主要競爭者並,他壓根只是個路人。現在,蔣萬安主動找上門,黃國昌就有機會把這場備受關注的選舉帶進自己的直播間,重新成為新聞焦點,甚至凸顯自己在藍白合作中的政治分量。
「聲量看政治」直言,與其說是蔣萬安找黃國昌請益,不如說是兩個政治人物的政治需求剛好互補相配。一個想借助白營的政治影響力爭取選票,一個想借台北市長選戰擴大自己的曝光。黃國昌還批評「洋流」是龐大選舉機器,結果自己轉身投入協助蔣萬安,這不也是政治動員嗎?
第三,「昔日『怯戰神』遇上今日被質疑怯戰的市長,究竟誰給誰取暖?」黃國昌過去不是被諷刺為「怯戰神」嗎?原因就在於,他經常高喊公開辯論,面對別人邀請時,卻又出現各種爭議與理由。然後,民進黨給他經營汐止,也因為他怯戰的性格,硬生生丟給賴品妤接手。
「聲量看政治」表示,拒絕特定辯論不代表沒有能力,但如果總是用不同標準要求別人,政治人物就得接受外界對雙重標準的質疑。沈伯洋多次要求多場政策辯論,蔣萬安卻一再拖延,反覆強調慣例。從政治心理來看,可能是現任者面對不確定性的風險控管。
「聲量看政治」直言,但對一位擁有四年施政紀錄的市長而言,真正有說服力的回應,不就是勇於拿出四年的施政成果接受檢驗嗎?於是,我們看到一個頗具諷刺意味的畫面。一個過去被諷刺為「怯戰神」的黃國昌,準備主持另一位被質疑迴避多場辯論的蔣萬安。
「聲量看政治」強調,兩人當然可以一起直播,也可以談合作,但他更好奇的是,這兩個人如果都很擅長挑選自己說話的舞台,卻對別人提出的挑戰有一堆理由,那究竟是怎樣?
「聲量看政治」在文末指出,台北市民恐怕不需要兩個自戀狂坐在一起相互取暖,此刻,社會大眾要看到的是,候選人願意把自己的政策與施政成績攤在陽光下,接受公平、直接而深入的檢驗。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
蔣萬安將參與週四與黃國昌的直播節目
Very likely · Within days
此次直播將聚焦於政治曝光而非深入政策辯論
Likely · Within days

During the New Taipei City mayoral election, Su Qiaohui said in response to Zhang Shujuan's accusation of Zhou Yukou's own revelations that she was also under attack on that day's program. The so-called "straight-ball showdown" only refers to her own position. She could not comment on Zhang's case and did not want to comment. She also emphasized that elections should focus on policies rather than private areas. People never know what kind of unbearable pain a single sentence may cause.

A New Taipei mayoral election poll conducted by the People's Association from October 6 to 8 showed that DPP candidate Su Qiaohui's support reached 43.1%, leading KMT candidate Li Sichuan's 30.0%, a difference of 13.1 percentage points. In an interview, Su Qiaohui said that although she was pleasantly surprised, she needed to be cautious of fear, and emphasized that the two-North elections may have a linkage effect, but New Taipei must maintain its subjectivity. The poll samples are people registered in New Taipei City over the age of 20, with a valid sample of 1,073 people and an error of ±3.0%.

Polling expert Dai Li'an pointed out that some blue-leaning media polls showed that Li Sichuan of the Kuomintang was ahead of Su Qiaohui of the DPP by 6.7 percentage points, but this was actually caused by the incorrect use of 2018 "Korean Wave" data weighting. His latest poll showed that Su Qiaohui's support was 43.1%, Li Sichuan was 30.0%, and Su Qiaohui was ahead by 13.1 percentage points. He suggested that predictions should be made based on the results of the 2024 regional legislative election rather than outdated data.

FTV's 8 o'clock drama "Tofu Mom" originally wanted to invite Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang of the Democratic Progressive Party to make a guest appearance, but it caused a backlash from media people and was deemed by the Ministry of Labor to have violated the Occupational Safety Law. Shen Boyang said that the reason he did not participate in the performance was that his schedule was full and he could not cooperate. He also emphasized that the safety and care of the staff are very important, and relevant legislation and industry discussions must continue.

The Taichung City Council held the third reading of the 2027 municipal general budget today. City Councilor Chen Yurong of the Democratic Progressive Party proposed a temporary motion, requesting the Taichung City Government to study the feasibility of universal cash at the end of the year as soon as possible before leaving office, and to take stock of tax revenue and financial resources to give the citizens clear answers. Speaker Zhang Qingzhao said that the case had been reviewed at the previous meeting and sent to the municipal government for discussion and handling.

Polling expert Dai Lian announced the latest poll. The proportion of New Taipei City people who believe that DPP candidate Su Qiaohui is suitable to serve as mayor reached 48.6%, an increase of 4.8 percentage points from August. The suitability of KMT candidate Li Sichuan was 35.9%, a decrease of 4.7 percentage points. In terms of support, Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1 percentage points, reaching 43.1% to 30.0%.