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Back房貸限縮衝擊法拍市場 連8季單季拍定總額未達70億元
房貸限縮衝擊法拍市場 連8季單季拍定總額未達70億元
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自由时报2 hours agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

房貸限縮衝擊法拍市場 連8季單季拍定總額未達70億元

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受房貸限縮政策影響,法拍市場持續低迷,2025年第三季全國房地拍定總額僅35.42億元,創2009年以來新低;自2021年第四季至2026年第二季,連19季單季拍定總額未達100億元,其中近8季未達70億元,顯示民眾投標意願下滑與資金籌備困難是主因。

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Why It Matters

房貸限縮政策近年趨嚴,特別是2025年第三季為房貸申請最嚴峻時期,金管會其後於去年9月發布青安2.0方案,將部分貸款排除在銀行法第72-2條限額之外,以紓解房貸塞車。

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近年房貸違約率低,本來進入法拍的物件就少。(記者徐義平攝)

〔記者徐義平/台北報導〕向來被視為房市反指標的法拍市場,其實也深受房貸限縮政策衝擊,尤其2025年第三季房貸最嚴峻時間點,單季全國房地拍定總金額僅35.42億元,寫下2009年第一季發布統計以來新低,且自2021年第四季起,截至今年第二季,長達19季的單季拍定總額不到100億元。

信義房屋不動產企研室專案經理曾敬德表示,近年房貸違約率低,本來進入法拍的物件就少,另外,法拍產品拍定後不像購置住宅有過戶申請房貸的時間,短時間內金額需要全部到位,因此做法拍代墊的銀行就不多,後面又遇到市場資金吃緊,也會讓參與的民眾資金調度的難度增加許多。

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根據內政部不動產資訊平台最新發布,第二季全國房地拍定總額約54.08億元,季減約19.67%、單季減少約13.24億元,不過,對比去年同期,年增幅則超過3成、約31.98%,房產業者指出,2025年可說是申請房貸最嚴峻的一年,直到去年9月1日,金管會發布青安2.0排除在「銀行法」第72-2條限額之外,才稍微紓解房貸塞車之苦。

攤開全國法拍房地拍定總額有統計以來的紀錄,單季拍定總額最高時間點落在2009年第三季、高達240.58億元,而前一年正好受到金融海嘯衝擊。但若細看2017年第二季至2026年第二季的10年期間,只有少數季度單季總額突破100億元,包括2019年第一季、2021年第三季。反觀2024年第三季至2026年第二季,連續8季的單季房地拍定總額不到70億元。

連8季 單季法拍總額不到70億元

馨傳不動產智庫執行長何世昌指出,法拍市場的拍定總額創低,除與房貸違約率不高,流入法拍市場的好貨量有限外,在房貸不易取得、法拍價格與市價差落收斂,以及對房市景氣看法偏向保守,諸多原因使得民眾投標意願下滑。

高力國際不動產業主代表服務部董事黃舒衛表示,法拍屋拍定金額雖然是房市景氣觀察指標之一,但拍賣公告後還要視點交條件、物件價格,才有機會拍定,所以無論是從程序時間、市況環境或承受意願來看,即便房市經歷兩年的低迷,但如果中間還有轉貸、轉售的機會,法拍市場的節奏很難緊跟市場變化,尤其目前市場供過於求,如果法拍價格缺乏進場誘因,重估減價壓力一樣不小。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 若金管會維持寬鬆房貸政策,法拍市場單季拍定總額有望在未來兩個季度內逐步回升至80億元以上

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • 青安2.0方案實施後,法拍市場是否會出現明顯回溫?
  • 未來房貸政策是否會進一步放寬以刺激需求?
  • 法拍屋價格與市價差距縮小是否會持續,進而影響投標誘因?

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