The countdown to the election has turned around in Taichung City. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang has set off a whirlwind. DPP Secretary-General Hsu Kuo-yong recently revealed during the Taichung auxiliary election that "Shen Boyang will come again before the election." Recently, there has been a viral rumor on the Internet, "I heard that Tong Ziwei will come back in November." , Shen Boyang, Su Qiaohui Taichung combined with He Xinchun", the news of the dream linkage of "Yangliu Hui Gathering + Xinchao Children's Tour" made many people shout "Crazy", this must be participated. In this regard, media person Wu Jingyi said that from Taipei "Ocean Current" to Taichung "Xinchao"! Can Shen Boyang and He Xinchun form a cross-city resonance? The return of young people to their hometowns to vote may be one of the most noteworthy turnout variables worth tracking in the 2026 local elections!
Wu Jingyi stated in a Facebook post that among the 360,000 "Ocean Current Crew Certificates" issued by Shen Boyang's campaign system, non-Taipei City supporters accounted for nearly 50% (about 180,000 people), forming a seed network for mobilization in other counties and cities. The number of followers of Shen Boyang's Threads account has reached 825,000, and the number of personal page views in the past 30 days has officially exceeded the 100 million mark. The volume of Shen Boyang-related issues has increased by as much as 875% (nearly 327,000), accounting for 31% of the top ten popular political issues in the country. Driven by Shen Boyang and former President Tsai Ing-wen, the Democratic Progressive Party has a total of 858,173 posts on the three major social platforms (accounting for 50% of the total number of blue, green and white parties), and social public opinion is better than the Kuomintang.
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Wu Jingyi pointed out the quantitative assessment of the opponent camp and Kaohsiung polls, and Jiang Qichen publicly quoted survey data and pointed out that the "ocean current effect" has aroused the enthusiasm for the election in Taichung, and has an impact on the election of counties and cities including Taichung by about 6 percentage points. The latest Fengcan poll has a 5.7% impact on Kaohsiung. Although it is not from blue to green, the conversion rate is high for those in the middle or those who have not expressed their opinions.
Wu Jingyi continued to point out that the transformation of offline entities (O2O) and the transformation of young generations have seen an influx of more than 30,000 people from the Audit New Village Day School in Taichung on September 27. Local councilors self-printed tens of thousands of "Ocean Current/Happy Tide (Left Flow, Right Flow)" streamers, and all were requested within 5 minutes to half an hour. The party's Taichung mayoral candidate He Xinchun has reversed the lead in support among young people aged 20 to 39 in most polls, which confirms that the "ocean current" has formed concrete political momentum in Taichung. The return of young people to their hometowns to vote may be one of the most important turnout variables worth tracking in the 2026 local elections!
Wu Jingyi analyzed that the most explosive substantive impact in the final stage of the election campaign is to overcome the "high cost of voting" for the younger generation and out-of-towners. "Community participation culture → sense of group belonging → willingness to return home to vote → actual voting behavior" whether participatory elections can drive actual turnout and then stimulate large-scale "youth return home voting." Calculated in Taichung City, every 5% to 7% increase in the overall turnout rate represents about 120,000 to 166,000 more votes. If the participatory culture of "Ocean Current" can push the turnout rate of young people aged 20 to 39 and urban voters in Taichung over the 65% mark, these more than 100,000 additional votes will be highly beneficial to He Xinchun.
Wu Jingyi bluntly said that if the small droplets of the Ocean Current reach the passenger transport, train, and high-speed rail transfer hubs, they will cause a big wave in Taiwan's general election.
