AI-generated summary
Before the outbreak of the US-Israeli war on Iran on February 28, the Strait of Hormuz received about 125 large commercial ships daily, transporting approximately 20% of the world’s daily supplies of crude oil and liquefied natural gas.
According to preliminary data from ship tracking company Kpler, crude exports ranged between 19.5 million and 22.5 million barrels per day on September 24, and between 27 and 29 of that year, compared to an average of 18 million barrels per day during the period from March 2025 to last February, before the outbreak of the American-Israeli war on Iran.
The seven-day average of crude exports reached 18.5 million barrels per day on October 1, while the average shipments of crude, petroleum products, chemicals and non-gas liquids reached 22.4 million barrels per day in the seven days ending on September 30. The number of LNG shipments departing through the Strait of Hormuz in September also rose to the highest monthly level since February.
This data does not include ships that may have crossed the strait with automatic identification devices disabled to avoid detection. Before the outbreak of war on February 28, the strait received about 125 large commercial ships daily, transporting approximately 20% of the world’s daily supplies of crude oil and liquefied natural gas.
On the other hand, Marisex, a shipping information company, said that attacks on tankers in and around the Strait of Hormuz continued, with at least seven incidents recorded. It indicated that the giant oil tanker "Kazma 3" was hit by an unknown projectile on October 1, which led to a fire breaking out on board, while it reported that its crew members were not harmed and were evacuated later.
The company warned that commercial ships are now facing an increasing and unpredictable threat, suggesting that the danger is linked to the presence of ships within specific areas of engagement where missiles may track available radar signals, and not to targeting specific ships.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz will continue as the US-Israeli war on Iran continues
Likely · Within weeks
Shipping companies may have to spend more on security and avoid the Hormuz route if attacks escalate
Possible · Within months

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