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Back川習二會落幕未提台灣 中經院長連賢明:台灣晶片對美中AI競賽至關重要
川習二會落幕未提台灣 中經院長連賢明:台灣晶片對美中AI競賽至關重要
World
自由时报1 hour agoWorld3 min readChinaView translation

川習二會落幕未提台灣 中經院長連賢明:台灣晶片對美中AI競賽至關重要

中國國家主席習近平赴美與美國總統川普會談,雙方會後報告均未提及台灣議題。中經院長連賢明分析,台灣晶片製造在美中AI競賽中至關重要。

Quick Look

中國國家主席習近平與美國總統川普進行今年第二度會面,雙方會後報告未提及台灣議題。中經院長連賢明指出,美中分歧大且互信少,峰會僅達成貿易休兵共識,並強調台灣晶片製造對美中AI競賽至關重要。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

中國國家主席習近平時隔11年赴美進行國是訪問,與美國總統川普在白宮舉行會談。

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美國總統川普(右)和中國國家主席習近平(左)25日參觀美國國家檔案館後準備離開。(法新社)

〔記者廖家寧/台北報導〕中國國家主席習近平時隔11年後赴美進行國是訪問,與美國總統川普在白宮舉行會談,這是川習今年第二度會面,川習二會在台灣時間26日落幕,美中雙方在會後發布的報告均未提及台灣議題。中經院長連賢明表示,台灣的晶片製造對美中人工智慧(AI)競賽中至關重要,美國如果少了台灣要在AI競賽中獲勝將會很困難。

連賢明昨日透過臉書發文表示,一如原先預期,又是場雷聲大雨點小的會議。美中雙方都想利用這場會議來達成某些目標,但彼此的分歧太大,互信太少,最後結果就是和九二共識一樣,雙方唯一有共識的就是下次再談。

連賢明表示,各界歸納峰會議題包括雙邊貿易與關稅休兵、對美採購與投資、人工智慧、關鍵礦物管制、伊朗戰爭與台灣問題。川普花費大量力氣鋪了紅地毯又親自去接機,念茲在茲希望習近平協助解決伊朗問題,至少能挽救一下期中選舉,「習大大也是老狐狸了,伊朗戰爭恰巧把美軍牽制在中東,怎麼可能出手相救?」

連賢明續說,另一方面,習近平認為台灣問題是重中之重,但中方既然這麼重視,美國採取的作為就是審慎評估再毫無作為,不然將來怎麼還有談判籌碼。更重要的是,台灣的晶片製造對美中AI競賽中至關重要,如果少了台灣,美國要獲勝是很困難。

連賢明指出,美中在AI領域要合作就更匪夷所思,川普已經多次放話,美國一定要在人工智慧競賽中領先中國,至今不賣最高效的AI晶片給中國。中國不但不同意購買次級的AI晶片,也不採用美國開發的大語言模型,自立自強要走自己的路。兩邊競爭這麼激烈,怎麼有可能合作?哪一個國家會同意慢下腳步來管制 AI 的進程?

連賢明認為,比較有可能談的出來的就是關稅、貿易和稀土。就像上次峰會一樣,兩邊同意繼續貿易休兵,美方同意調降一些關稅,中方同意多買一些農產品,多賣一些稀土,直到下次 (年底) 的高峰會議再說,他的美方智庫友人也因此預測川普到年底都不會批准對台軍購。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美中雙方同意繼續貿易休兵,直到年底高峰會再議。

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 年底高峰會是否會達成進一步協議?
  • 美方後續對台軍購政策是否會受影響?

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