Qiangtai Qiang Piming will reach the peak of the first wave! Typhoon forum reveals the latest AI series: 70% invaded Taiwan

The strong typhoon Qiangpi continues to move westward. Its intensity has weakened slightly in the past 6 hours, but it will still strengthen again in the future. It is expected to reach the peak of the first wave of intensity tomorrow (19th), challenging this year's wind king. The key to whether it will hit Taiwan directly lies in the weakening of the Pacific High Pressure. Experts point out that from the latest AI model collection, about 70% of the typhoons are very close to or even passing through Taiwan.

According to observations from the Central Meteorological Administration, Typhoon Qiangbi was centered at 13.2 degrees north latitude and 142.4 degrees east longitude at 2 p.m. today (19th). It has continued to move westward for the past 6 hours with a speed of 22 kilometers per hour; Qiangpi has weakened slightly and is near the center. The central wind speed dropped from 55 meters per second to 53 meters per second, but it is expected to strengthen again tonight and will reach the peak of the first wave tomorrow. The wind speed near the center may reach 60 meters per second, tying the highest wind speed records of this year's Xinluke, Bawei and White Dolphin stations.

The Facebook weather fan page "Taiwan Typhoon Forum - Weather Emergency" posted that Qiangpi is expected to reach the peak of the first wave of intensity tomorrow. At the same time, the environment is suitable for development and it will maintain a strong typhoon level for several days.

In terms of track, the typhoon will continue to move steadily westward along the edge of the Pacific high pressure in the next five days. It is expected that around Thursday to Friday (22-23), when it comes to the waters east of Taiwan and south of Miyako Island, as the Pacific high pressure weakens slightly, the typhoon may gradually slow down, and the northerly component of the path will also begin to increase.

The "Typhoon Forum" stated that the key to whether it will turn northward or continue westward and directly attack Taiwan lies in the weakening of the Pacific high pressure! It is now estimated that although the high pressure has weakened, it has not weakened enough, preventing Qiangpi from turning northward smoothly. Instead, after the high pressure has strengthened again, it has continued to be guided towards Taiwan.

Judging from the latest Google WN3C AI model collection, about 70% of the members are very close to or even passing through Taiwan, and the remaining about 30% turned north earlier, moving in the direction of Japan.

The "Typhoon Forum" emphasized that based on the forecast results of this report, the signal that Qiangpi will approach or even invade Taiwan is still relatively strong. However, there are still several days before it may affect Taiwan. There is still a lot of room for correction in the later path. The cluster ratio is not equal to the actual invasion probability. The exact impact time, scope and extent require continuous observation of subsequent forecast changes.