Typhoon Qiangbi continues to strengthen and gain weight. The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that based on the current path, a maritime typhoon warning will be issued as early as late Wednesday night. However, when it moves to the southern sea of Japan's Ryukyu Islands on Thursday, the path will still be uncertain due to the strength of the Pacific high pressure. If the Pacific high pressure weakens significantly, it will turn more northward and move eastward away from Taiwan. If the Pacific high pressure does not weaken significantly, it will be closer to Taiwan. In any case, there will be obvious wind and rain everywhere on Friday and Saturday.
Meteorological Administration forecaster Zheng Jieren said that at 2 pm today (19th), the center of Typhoon Qiangpi was located on the sea about 2,030 kilometers southeast of Eluanbi. Its eye was solid and clearly visible, and its rotation was obvious. It was slightly stronger than in the morning, and the central wind speed increased from 53 meters per second. 55 meters per second, and the storm radius has also expanded from 220 kilometers to 250 kilometers. It is expected that the overall environment will be conducive to the typhoon maintaining its intensity or even becoming stronger in the next one to two days. The intensity and storm radius may still increase slightly. It is estimated that the storm radius can reach 300 kilometers at its peak, and will accelerate slightly.
Zheng Jieren said that as the typhoon comes to the sea east of Taiwan and gradually moves northward, the typhoon will slow down slightly when turning. At the same time, because the atmosphere and ocean environment are not conducive to the development of the typhoon, the intensity will gradually weaken and the storm radius will shrink. When approaching Taiwan, the intensity may be between the lower limit of a strong typhoon and or between the middle and lower limits of a strong typhoon.
Zheng Jieren explained that before Thursday, Typhoon Qianbi was guided by the Pacific high pressure and moved steadily towards the northwest and west. When it moved to the sea south of Japan's Ryukyu Islands on Thursday, the Pacific high pressure retreated slightly eastward, and the path may turn northwest, north-northwest or even north, and there are still differences in the distance from Taiwan. If the high pressure to the north of Taiwan weakens more, the typhoon will turn eastward and away from Taiwan. If the Pacific high pressure does not weaken significantly, it may move westward closer to Taiwan's offshore waters, or even make landfall. It is not ruled out.
Zheng Jieren said that judging from the current path, the coast guard may be issued from late Wednesday night to Thursday, and it is not ruled out that the land police may be issued from late Thursday night to the first half of Friday. New Taipei and Yilan may still be the first wave of land police.
Regarding the rainfall trend in the coming week, Zheng Jieren said that the weather tomorrow will be similar to today, with cloudy to sunny conditions in various places, with only sporadic rainfall on the north coast of Keelung, Yihua and the Hengchun Peninsula. On Wednesday, the northeast monsoon will move southward, and rainfall will increase in the north and eastern half of Hsinchu and the Hengchun Peninsula on the windward side. It will be cloudy to sunny in the south of Miaoli at noon. There will be sporadic short-lived showers in the southern mountainous areas; Thursday will continue to be affected by the northeast monsoon, and as the typhoon gradually approaches, the rainfall will be more obvious than on Wednesday. On the windward side, there will continue to be rainfall in the north and eastern half of Hsinchu and the Hengchun Peninsula. Even in the mountainous areas of Greater Taipei and Yilan, watch out for locally heavy rains, and the rain will become more obvious the later it is.
Zheng Jieren pointed out that Friday and Saturday are when the typhoon is closest to Taiwan. Affected by the typhoon or its peripheral circulation, the probability of rainfall in various places increases. In the past two days, there may be local heavy rain or heavy rain in the north and Yilan. There will also be local heavy rain in Hualien on Friday. When the typhoon moves to the northeastern sea on Saturday, in Under a northerly or northwesterly wind environment, there will also be local heavy rain or torrential rain in the central mountainous areas. However, the overall rainfall distribution, scope, and intensity are related to the typhoon's path and continue to be observed. The typhoon will gradually move away next Sunday, and the environment will turn northeasterly next Monday. There will still be rain in the northern and eastern half of the windward side these two days.
As for the temperature, Zheng Jieren said that it will be hot in various places tomorrow, with Keelung and the eastern half at 30 to 32 degrees during the day, and the western half at 31 to 34 degrees. In some areas, it can reach over 35 degrees, with 22 to 26 degrees in the morning and evening. On Wednesday, the northeast monsoon moves southward, and the temperature in the north and Yilan drops slightly. The central and southern areas and Huadong are still above 30 degrees during the day. On Thursday, affected by the typhoon's peripheral circulation and the northeast monsoon, the daytime temperature in the north and Yilan dropped to 25 and 26 degrees.
Zheng Jieren said that on Friday and Saturday, there will be more clouds and increased rainfall in various places. The daytime temperature in various places will fall below 30 degrees, and it will be close to 30 degrees in the south during the day. It still needs to be observed whether local high temperatures will be caused by the typhoon wind field in the future. The typhoon will move away next Sunday, and the daytime temperature will generally return to above 30 degrees in various places.
Zheng Jieren reminded that there is a chance of long waves on the eastern half of the coast and the Hengchun Peninsula from tomorrow, on the north coast of Keelung and Matsu from Wednesday, and on the central coast from Saturday. Please pay attention.
