
自2024年央行實施第七波選擇性信用管制以來,全台及六都房貸負擔率由44.30%降至41.46%,減少2.84個百分點。台北市降幅最大達4.41個百分點,但全台房貸負擔率仍處於偏低水準,雙北地區超過5成,購屋門檻未見顯著下降,年輕人與首購族仍面臨高頭期款與貸款審核嚴格的困境。
AI-generated summary
自2024年央行推出第七波選擇性信用管制以來,房市熱度逐步降溫,房價漲勢趨緩,民眾購屋負擔有所改善。
全台及六都房貸負擔率由44.30%降至41.46%,減少2.84個百分點。(中信房屋提供)
自2024年央行推出第七波選擇性信用管制以來,房市熱度逐步降溫,房價漲勢趨緩,民眾購屋負擔也因此出現改善。根據內政部資料,對比2024年第一季與2026年第一季全台及六都房貸負擔率變化可以發現,全台房貸負擔率已經由44.30%降至41.46%,減少2.84個百分點。
進一步觀察六都表現,其中以台北市減幅最大,達4.41個百分點,其次為台南市的3.43個百分點,以及台中市的3.09個百分點。
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中信房屋研展室副理莊思敏指出,台北市房價基期相對較高,房貸負擔率也長期居六都之冠,因此當房價漲勢放緩,整體負擔率便可能出現較明顯的變化。至於台中、台南,過去房市在建設題材、科技題材與市場熱潮帶動下,房價漲勢驚人,如今受信用管制影響,投資性需求幾乎絕跡,市場回歸理性,自住買盤追價意願不高,房價漲勢大幅收斂,部分區域甚至出現價格修正的情況,房貸負擔率自然隨之回落。
不過,雖然房貸負擔率下降,但為什麼多數民眾仍覺得買不起房?對此,莊思敏表示,房貸負擔率改善,並不代表購屋門檻已降至多數家庭都能輕鬆負擔的程度。目前全台房貸負擔率41.46%,仍屬「負擔能力偏低」水準,其中,雙北的房貸負擔率更超過5成,等於一般家庭要拿出一半以上的可支配所得繳房貸,購屋壓力之沉重可見一斑。而且目前全台房價仍在相對高檔,動輒數百萬元的頭期款,仍是年輕人與首購族最大的難關。
再加上銀行房貸額度緊縮、審核趨嚴,部分民眾還可能面臨貸款成數不如預期、須提高自備款,或承擔較高房貸利率的困境,進一步增加購屋難度。
莊思敏表示,要讓民眾真正買得起房,關鍵還是在於提高收入,近年薪資成長多集中在科技業,許多傳統產業的薪水仍相當微薄,不同產業間的薪資差距持續擴大,也讓「買得起」與「買不起」的族群更加分化。
她建議,政府除了持續健全房市,更應從產業升級、平衡產業發展、提升勞工薪資等面向著手,讓薪資成長追上房價,才能從根本改善民眾的購屋負擔,實現安居目標。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
若薪資成長無法追上房價,購屋負擔改善將有限
Likely · Within months
政府可能從產業升級與勞工薪資提升著手以改善購屋負擔
Possible · Within months

Tokyo's new rule requiring property buyers to declare nationality is raising investor concerns, according to analysts, who also note Japan's shift from ultra-loose monetary policy to interest rate normalization is reducing demand for real estate assets, with the country recording $27.2 billion in property investment in the first half of the year, second only to mainland China in Asia-Pacific.

From 2015 to September 2026, Taipei City’s net population emigration has accumulated to approximately 294,000 people, which is equivalent to the total population of Chiayi City. Da'an District has the largest emigration population, accounting for 13.5% of the city's emigration. High housing prices and old houses are the main reasons. Outmigration of the population has driven up housing prices in New Taipei, Taoyuan and other places.

The proportion of the population aged 65 and above in Taipei City reaches 24.76%, the highest in the country, and the proportion of old houses over 30 years old reaches 74.47%, creating a situation of "old people trapped in old houses". Industry players pointed out policy blind spots and suggested integrating resources across domains, using mechanisms such as housing pensions and nursing home trusts to convert the net value of old houses into cash flow, and provide leasing and escrow services to create an age-friendly living environment.

According to data from the Ministry of the Interior, the average age of houses in 19 of the 22 counties and cities across the country exceeds 30 years. Among them, the average age of houses in Yunlin, Chiayi, and Penghu exceeds 40 years, entering the super-elderly housing stage. Experts point out that the lack of an update mechanism for old housing in urban areas and the insufficient supply of new housing have led to a stagnation in the housing market, and the problem of elderly people trapped in old housing will become increasingly common.

As of December last year, the number of mortgage borrowers over the age of 65 in Taiwan reached 61,600, a record high since records began in 2009, an increase of 6,900 over the same period last year, an increase of more than 12%. Experts point out that this trend reflects the impact of a super-aged society and delayed retirement. The purpose of loans has also expanded from home purchases to asset allocation and wealth inheritance. However, banks still maintain a cautious lending attitude.
The Guangxi Finance Department recently allocated 297 million yuan in real estate consumption promotion funds, focusing on consumption subsidies such as new housing purchases and rentals, to increase support for the digestion of existing commercial housing, expand housing consumption scenarios, and help the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.