Civil war in the White House

It was claimed that the Donald Trump administration in the USA was preparing for a new wave of attacks on Iran after the midterm elections. However, the fact that the Iran war was held primarily responsible for the heavy defeat of the Republicans triggered a new struggle in the White House. According to the American press, the pro-negotiation wing, led by Vice President JD Vance, is trying to pull Trump to its own line by saying "let's deal", while the hawkish wing, led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, is trying to pull Trump to its own line by saying "let's strike". It is stated that Vance has been holding indirect talks with Iran for two weeks, and the hawks are pressuring Trump by saying "we have little time left to strike." Regional countries also intensified their contacts with Tehran to prevent a new conflict. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Arakchi announced that he met with 12 of his counterparts in the last 48 hours. The most concrete step of this diplomatic traffic is Qatar's offer to open the Strait of Hormuz.

Three fronts have become evident in the Iran crisis in the White House. Vance and Trump's Special Representative Steve Witkoff, who attributed the election defeat to the Iran war and targeted war supporters without naming them in a long message published in the middle of the week, stand out on the negotiation front. Hegseth and CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper, who have been advocating attacks since the beginning of the war, think that Iran can be dissuaded from its nuclear program with a new large-scale operation. The hawks place the responsibility for today's military stalemate on Vance, Rubio, Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who advocated an agreement with Iran and stopping operations in April. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are in favor of maintaining sanctions and a naval blockade instead of new attacks.

According to Axios, Vance has been personally involved in indirect talks with Iran for the past two weeks. Vance, who meets with Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed al-Thani and Pakistani Chief of General Staff Asim Munir almost every day, sent a letter to Iran's Supreme National Security Council Secretary Mohsen Rezai, proposing the resumption of negotiations. While Iranian officials stated that the letter was received positively, holding a technical meeting between the parties is also on the agenda.

The hawks, on the other hand, say there is approximately an eight-week window of opportunity for a new attack on Trump. They want action before the new Democrat-controlled Congress takes office in January, according to NBC News. The USA has more than 50 thousand soldiers, more than 20 ships and more than 200 aircraft in the region. It is considered that the possible operation will target Iran's oil and natural gas infrastructure and the nuclear facilities on Mount Kazma.

While the American navy continues the blockade against Iran off the Persian Gulf, the US Central Command announced that a reward of up to 20 million dollars will be given to those who provide critical information about Tehran's nuclear program.

While the Iran debate in the USA continues, regional countries are increasing their diplomatic contacts to prevent a new conflict. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Arakchi stated in his statement yesterday that he met with 12 counterparts, including Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, in the last 48 hours. The prominent step of this diplomatic traffic is the draft agreement prepared by Qatar. According to The Guardian, Qatar presented a plan to the parties that would see International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors visit bombed nuclear facilities and open the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the lifting of the US blockade and the release of a portion of $8 billion in frozen Iranian assets. It is stated that Qatar Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani conveyed the proposal to Trump on Friday, and Iran put forward additional conditions such as ending the war in Lebanon, withdrawing US forces from the region, easing sanctions and paying war compensation.

It was claimed that ISRAELI Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Mossad Director Roman Gofman planned to organize an operation against Iran one day before the Israeli election on October 27, but the USA blocked the attempt after being informed of the situation. According to Israeli Channel 12 television, senior officials of Israeli security institutions did not support the plan due to concerns that the operation could lead to a large-scale escalation with Iran and cause the elections to be postponed. Despite this, it was claimed that the preparations continued, but as a result of a mistake made by an Israeli security officer, the USA became aware of the operation and Washington stopped the attempt. The Israeli Prime Minister's Office denied the claim and stated that Netanyahu announced before the election that attacking Iran was not on the agenda.