
AI-generated summary
Financial markets are monitoring US macroeconomic data and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
European stock markets continue to rise but are cautious awaiting inflation in the United States expected in the early afternoon. A figure that could provide indications on the future path of the Fed's monetary policy for the rest of the year.
Oil remains a concern for investors after Houthi missile and drone attacks on Saudi Arabia heightened uncertainty over energy supplies. WTI rises a quarter of a percentage point to $94 while North Sea Brent is flat at $105. The price of gas dropped 2.6 to 84.9 euros per megawatt hour.
The spread between BTPs and Bunds rises to 106.9 basis points with the yield on the Italian ten-year bond at 4.51%. Among the individual markets, Milan is flat at +0.09%, Paris rises by 0.45%, Frankfurt by 0.4% and Madrid by 0.41%. On the exchange rate front, the euro has moved little at 1.1195 against the dollar.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Publication of inflation data in the United States
Very likely · Within hours

Four years of crises and energy shocks have cost Italy almost 52 billion of real GDP and 2,400 euros per family, according to the alarm raised by Confesercenti in Rome.

In August 2026, 1.64 billion euros were spent on the single allowance for 5,885,802 families. The INPS Observatory attests this, recording an average of 279 euros per family unit.

According to Moody's, the war cost American consumers 265 billion, driven by increases in fuel prices, interest rates and military spending, with a burden estimated at around 1,100 dollars per family.

New increase of 20 cents communicated by the Customs and Monopolies Agency for 13 brands of manufactured tobacco and 14 inhalation tobacco. The increases will continue in 2027 and 2028 due to the increase in excise duties.

The Confindustria research center estimates GDP growth of 1% for 2026, defining it as fragile, and forecasts a slowdown to 0.6% in 2027. The cost of energy, inflation and rates are under blame.

The increase in prices for tobacco products continues due to the adjustment of excise duties provided for by the Budget Law. From 14 October 2026, prices will increase by 20 cents for numerous brands of shredded tobacco, cigars and heated tobacco.