Confindustria estimates '+1% GDP in 2026 but will slow to +0.6% in 2027'

"In 2026, GDP will grow above expectations at +1%", estimates the Confindustria study center with the autumn report on economic forecasts. And he warns: it is "fragile growth". "In 2027 the slowdown will be felt": the growth estimated for next year stops at +0.6% due to "the weakness of the final phase of 2026 and only a moderate recovery at the beginning of the year".

"Energy, inflation and rates slow down growth." The cost of energy "remains the most important vulnerability of the Italian economy" so much so that "it could cancel out the expected GDP growth" for next year: Confindustria economists warn that there will be zero growth in the case of "a Brent at around 126 dollars per barrel on annual average".