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Back矢板明夫分析美中峰會與日美同盟:勿因一句話自擾
矢板明夫分析美中峰會與日美同盟:勿因一句話自擾
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自由时报1 hour agoWorld2 min readChinaView translation

矢板明夫分析美中峰會與日美同盟:勿因一句話自擾

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資深媒體人矢板明夫指出,川習會中川普提及二戰美中同盟史引發日本「疑美論」,但實際行動顯示美日同盟堅固,台灣亦常見類似過度解讀,應避免因單一言論自行驚慌。

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Why It Matters

川普與習近平舉行峰會,期間川普提及二戰時美中曾為盟國,引發日本媒體與評論人士對美日同盟的疑慮。

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美國總統川普與中國國家主席習近平3天峰會,「川習二會」舉行過程中也引起國際關注。資深媒體人矢板明夫提到,日本也出現一波「疑美論」,但從現況可判斷,美日關係堅若磐石,而這種操作,台灣也非常熟悉。矢板明夫強調,台灣對美國不能盲目信任,但同樣也沒必要因為一句話自己嚇自己。

矢板明夫表示,日本國內之所以出現「疑美論」,是因為川普在會談時提到二次世界大戰,說當時美中曾是「盟國」一起打過仗,習近平立刻接球,強調「中美曾經並肩抗擊日本軍國主義」,導致日本有些媒體和評論人士「炸鍋」。有人認為,川普是在配合習近平的「抗日史觀」,中國受到高規格接待,日本卻被冷落,甚至有「高市外交失敗」、「美國正在拋棄日本」的說法。

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矢板明夫認為,這些說法都是過度解讀,首先川普只是陳述歷史事實,二戰時美國與中國確實是盟軍,但「中國」是蔣介石領導的「中華民國」,不是1949年才成立的「中華人民共和國」;第二,比川普的一句話更值得看的是實際行動,川普9月22日在紐約先和高市早苗舉行首腦會談,雙方談了中國問題,接著才去見習近平,川習會一結束,川普很快又打電話給高市,詳細說明剛才和習近平談了什麼。

矢板明夫表示,高市早苗26日特別在X上發文說「一個星期之內,兩次舉行首腦會談,正是日美同盟強大的證明。」並強調「日本和美國,如今已經成為彼此最值得信賴的同盟國。」矢板明夫認為,這幾句話就是在回應這兩天日本國內出現的「疑美論」,國際政治不能只看一張照片,更不能只抓住川普的一句話,就宣布「日本被拋棄了」。

矢板明夫指出,如果真的要判斷美國是不是疏遠日本,就要看,美國有沒有改變對日防衛承諾?有沒有改變駐日美軍部署?有沒有改變印太戰略?從現狀可以判斷,美日關係堅若磐石。而這種現象台灣也很熟悉,只要美中領導人握一次手、吃一次飯,或者川普稱讚習近平幾句,馬上就有人跳出來說:「你看,美國要拋棄台灣了。」

矢板明夫最後也說:「這類分化台美關係的疑美論,是北京最喜歡看到的。當然,我們對美國也不能盲目信任。但是同樣也沒必要因為一句話,就自己嚇自己。」

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美日將繼續進行高層互動以鞏固同盟

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 美國是否會調整對台政策?
  • 中國是否利用此事加強對台施壓?
  • 日本國內疑美論是否會持續發酵?

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